Brazil Booms by Going Lula's Way
By Tim Padgett & Andrew Downie/Brasilia
Friday, Sep. 19, 2008
With their endless strings of pearly beaches, heavenly climate and sensual bossa nova culture, Brazilians regard themselves as uniquely blessed. So last fall, when massive oil reserves were discovered off the coast near Rio de Janeiro, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva saw it as further proof of a celestial bond. "God," he gushed, "is Brazilian."
That kind of good fortune, divine or not, has helped Lula, 62, a former union leader, become the country's most popular President in half a century. Even without the oil find — which could make Brazil one of the world's largest crude producers — the economy is growing vigorously, and the nation's notorious social inequality is receding. What's more, Brazil is flexing a newfound diplomatic clout as the hemisphere's first real counterweight to the U.S. (Lula led the creation of a bloc of developing nations, the G-20, to thwart U.S. and European hegemony in global trade talks.) "I believe implicitly that Brazil has found its way," he told TIME in a rare interview at the Planalto presidential palace in Brasília.
When he addresses the United Nations General Assembly in New York City this week, Lula will hope to retire the old joke that Brazil is the country of the future and always will be. Instead, he'll tell his peers among the world's leadership that his country is finally realizing its potential. ("We'll be one of the six biggest economies in the world within 10 years," he boasts.) And he'll argue that Brazil deserves a permanent seat on the Security Council.
That may be a dream too far, but many in the audience will acknowledge that the bearded, gravelly voiced President has been a revelation. When he was first elected in 2002, many U.S. experts on Latin America worried that he and his leftist Workers Party would trash Brazil's economy by pursuing socialist and populist policies. But Lula stuck to the market-oriented fiscal reforms of his predecessor, Fernando Henrique Cardoso. Those policies, plus a windfall from high global prices for Brazilian products like soybeans and steel, helped Lula tame the country's notorious hyperinflation and create a boom — growth will be 5% or more again this year.
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