'04 Election Could Be 2000 Redux(effect of Bush's -50% -Approval)

[papau]

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/01/17/opinion/polls/main593848.shtml

'04 Election Could Be 2000 Redux
Jan. 17, 2003


A CBS News/New York Times poll shows that the election year is starting with a White House race that resembles the ultra-close and hotly-contested race of 2000.


If the November presidential election were held today, 45% of voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 43% would vote to re-elect George W. Bush. Late last month, the President held a 49% to 40% edge. The standing today is similar to what it was in November 2003, before the capture of Saddam Hussein. The poll was conducted among a nationwide random sample of 1022 adults, interviewed by telephone between Jan. 12 and Jan. 15.


Much of this sentiment seems already locked in place, suggesting the coming year could see a tight struggle for undecided voters: 63% say their mind is already made up, while 36% say it is too soon to say for sure.

Partisans on both sides are sure of their choice, but Republicans even more so: 73% say their mind is made up, while 66% of Democrats say their decision is final right now. <snip>


Even Democratic primary voters nationwide are not particularly tuned in yet. Just 26% of them are paying a lot of attention, and 43% are paying some – much the same levels found among all voters. <snip>

The Issues For 2004

The economy is still the top issue on the minds of voters during this presidential campaign, but significant numbers of voters want to hear about the war in Iraq, U.S. foreign policy, and health care.<snip>

[bigwillq]

1. I think it'll be as close as in 2000

We need to gete those swing states or the shrub will win the EC. I think the popular vote will go to the DEM.
Remember-The Shrub has never won a people's choice award.

[papau]

2. I note that ONLY CBS didn't bury the fact that the un-named Dem wins 45/43

the NYT went out of its way to kill that factoid - put it in last paragraph with no discussion.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

3. CBS is one of our better news sources. The NY Times ONLY calls...

itself Liberal and the Washington Post has merged with the Moonie Times!

[kutastha]

4. Bush has been dropping ever since he took office

He got bumps from 9/11, the beginning of the war, the capture (?) of Saddam. Yet every time, it keeps falling, probably at the same rate it has been without his convenient bumps. And each time, his bump gets smaller and smaller. I think the general masses are tiring of his shit.

[Must_B_Free]

5. The truth is

everyone knows Bush is a liar.

These haven't been good years for America.

[tinrobot]

6. All we need...

Is everyone who voted for Gore to vote again plus one vote from each of the 3 million people who lost their jobs...

It'll be a landslide.