I finally put my money down on Tuesday, a whole week out. Kerry over Bush by two to three points in every state that matters except Florida. For those who find this an appalling, Bill Bennett-like display of disrespect for both good money and Our Nation's Future, I say, hey, no guts, no glory. Besides, Ladbrokes, the English betting firm, is offering 6 to 5 on Kerry.
These things usually start locking down a week out at the latest, so by the last two to three days, nothing much can change it unless we get hit with a political meteorite. Bush is still putting much more money than Kerry into television ads, but the ad-blat factor has set in. Ad-blat is a combination of ad-fatigue, particularly afflicting the heroic citizens of our swing states, and the ubiquitous campaign ads of everyone from Joe Don Billups for county commission, precinct 2, to Mary Hannah Gonzalez-Chiu for state agriculture director. We live in a great nation.
We're in the ground war now, slog time -- knock on the doors, make the calls, organize the rides, find the right polling place. The D's normally beat the R's at ground war, partly because they have a lot of union folks who know how to do it. But Karl Rove and the Republican National Committee have put a ton of money into ground war this year -- starting with outsourcing the data entry of its computer information archive to India.
But I think the D's still have the edge because of the intensity factor.
Without fear of contradiction, I can say that George W. Bush has turned out to be a divider, not a uniter, for the past four years. Sheesh, if we get any madder at each other there will be fisticuffs, brethren, I say fisticuffs.
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http://www.workingforchange.com/article.cfm?itemid=17982
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