Kerry Beats Bush 63% to 35%, with Nader Taking 2% - My Prediction

[ThomWV]

That is how I see the popular vote comming out, 63 to 35 with Nader skimming about 2% who would not have voted otherwise. How do you see it?

Edited to correct crappy math

[NMDemDist2]

1. wow 110%

I see dead people voting!

edited to add ROFL

[DonP]

17. Welcome to a Chicago style election

Where our citizenry is so public spirited they continue to vote years after death!

[SaveElmer]

2. That's 110% man

Hope you're kiddin ;-)

[phillybri]

3. Is this what's known as giving 110%????

:shrug:

[nickinSTL]

4. 109%?

Uh, your numbers don't add up.

---

Never mind, been fixed.

[Melinda]

5. I have the same thought as well....

right after I smoke a bowl.

[Blue-Jay]

6. Let's see...

63 + 45 + 2 = 110

Sounds good to me!

[Mattforclark]

7. Me says

Kerry 51.2
Bush 47.4
Nadir .6
Other .8

[PATRICK]

8. I don't really think

Nader can scrape two percent if the aroused electorate votes in greater numbers based of the Kerry/Bush contest. Whatever Nader has done to bring his core in, the new size of the game may swamp whatever he still can muster. Only, those who voted for Gore and definitely see that Kerry will win in a landslide might finally be able to vote their real wishes without fear.

Otherwise, as things now stand, I think your prediction may be quite on the money. But "now" means nothing as we have seen before.

[truebrit71]

9. Kerry 54% * 43% Nader 3%

n/t

[ACK]

10. You got the figures down truebrit71

Sorry for the landslide crowd.

I like Kerry a lot. Hell, in this politically f*cked nation, I am just glad to get to vote for someone left of Clinton that has a snowballs chance in hell of winning.

Fuck all the naysayers, I know that is sad but at least I honestly believe that Kerry is a good man.

The country has been polarized to the point that I cannot imagine at least 43% of the nation voting for smirk boy. They are that deluded by the corporate press and the Repuke media machine.

_

[Zinfandel]

11. So you think Bush spending 300 million dollars on ads in about 12 states.

and on cable news (for the rest of the country) ads running night and day, will have very little effect?

Everyone knows money buys elections, that's why Clinton was so well funded, he knew...The Republicans absolutely know and believe this!

We are a corporate run country now, completely and the corporations donate overwhemingly fund the republicans,,,that's why the republicans run this country for the corporations...President, the Senate, The Congress and the Supreme Court. (and the corporations own the media). Money buys elections.

The Republican who overwhelmingly out spends their opponent usually wins. If they spend about equal amounts the Democrat almost always wins. If the Democrat overwhelmingly out spends his opponent, he always win.

[NewJeffCT]

12. I'm a pessimist

Bush 51%
Kerry 47%
Nader 2%

[Zinfandel]

13. I'd have to agree, those seem about right to me.

I'd give Kerry another point

Bush 50%
Kerry 48%
Nader 2%

So things could change dramatically if Nader was to drop out and support Kerry...but that won't happen.

[Vogon_Glory]

14. May It Be So

May your prediction prove accurate, but I fear that too many voters are still swayed by the fact that no matter how much they disagree with his decisions or his administration's policies, they think that George UUalker Bush is a likable individual. To think that someone may be likable yet vote against him anyway requires more intellectual and emotional maturity than many American voters possess.

I suppose an argument to make to our more conservative yet politically naive fellow citizens is that they can still like Dubya anyway as an ex-President. We Democrats are trying to speed up the "ex"ing part of the process. :evilgrin:

[Zinfandel]

15. "requires more intellectual and emotional maturity than many American

voter possess."

You are so correct and what people almost always overlook, (just look at the polls, fuck up after fuck up and Bush is still about even) because people are so blindly (and rightfully so) focused on the issues and the facts, they fail to see why Bush may very well win this election...if I was a betting man...I wouldn't bet against Bush.

[rock]

16. You're a shade more optomistic than me

I say 60/40 or so (disregarding Nader).

[tom_paine]

18. That may be the honest vote...what Diebold and Pravda will say

Kerry 56% Bush 45%.

Although a win is a win.

Whatever the honest vote is: take 7% from Kerry and add 3% to Bunnypants*.

[hughee99]

19. I see almost a repeat

Kerry 49%, Bush 50%, Nader less than 1%. I'm not sure how the electoral college will breakdown though. It could very well be repukes complaining about the electoral college in the next election if Kerry wins the key states.

[tom_paine]

20. I concur, afte Felon Purges and Diebold Backdoors and 10,000 vacation Home

Bushevik Extra Votes and stacking error-prone machines in minority areas and re-feeding Bushevik absentee ballots but not Dem ones and letting Bushevik Praetorian Guards like Charles Kane have free access to the State Voter Databases unsupervised for 2 weeks and lets not forget the more and more common (for Busheviks, for everyone else it's still illegal) use of Taxpayer Funds to solicit Bushevik Absentee Votes, often from people who haven't lived in the State for years?

Have I missed anything? After all of that, I definitely feel that you results may be what Pravda tells us we voted (which has nothing to do with how we actually voted).

You don't have to worry about the Busheviks bitching about the Electoral College, because, if Bunnypants*, after the MANY CHEATS is ahead in the Diebold Vote Total, he WILL win.

Only others besides the Imperial Family can "lose" while winning the popular vote (as Corproate TV Pravda falsely repots, of course).

Yes yes yes, I know about 1876 and 1888, but that was in the Old American Republic, which was a completely different country that the one we're living in now.

No relationship at all the Imperial Amerika, besides the wretched remnants and the fact that the now-almost-defunct Constitution and Bill of Rights are given ample Lip Service as if we still did live in the Old Republic.

but we don't.