Kerry 54% Bush 41% (The Real Numbers)

[stewert]

From the unfair Newsweek poll taken thursday and friday:

On July 30, Kerry/Edwards got 54 percent and Bush/Cheney 41 percent, the poll shows.

That is the real number, Kerry has a 13 point lead. That poll should have been taken friday and saturday, not thursday and friday. It is crazy to take a 2 day poll when one of the days is before the Kerry keynote speech. Someone should ask Newsweek why they would take that poll on thursday and friday when they knew the Kerry speech was not until thursday night.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/040731/nysa010a_3.html

[quinnox]

1. Wonderful, may it continue, a Kerry landslide would be the clearest signal

sent of a USA rejecting a 'pre-emptive' wars doctrine, and the world could breathe a sigh of relief.

[TruthIsAll]

2. The Friday numbers were 50-40 on the orig. story.

On Edit: My bad. They are consistent. 50-40 includes Nader,
54-41 without Nader.

Apparently, they have been updated. Good news!

Check pollingreport.com for original numbers.

There is a discrepancy in the article (see notes 1 and 2).


In interviews on Thursday, July 29-before the Kerry nomination acceptance speech-Kerry/Edwards received the support of 47 percent of registered voters, Bush/Cheney 45 percent and Nader/Camejo 2 percent, according to the Newsweek Poll.

1) In Friday interviews after the speech, Kerry/Edwards received 50 percent, Bush/Cheney 40 percent and Nader/Camejo 3 percent.

In the two-way race, in interviews on July 29, Kerry/Edwards received 49 percent and Bush/Cheney 47 percent. On

2) July 30, Kerry/Edwards got 54 percent and Bush/Cheney 41 percent, the poll shows.



7/30 only 40 50 3 7
7/29 only 45 47 2 6

[Zynx]

3. Were those with or without Nader?

[stewert]

4. Two-Way......

The 54 to 41 is the two-way race numbers with just Kerry and Bush.

With Nader in the mix it's Kerry 50% and Bush 40%.

The reason I put (real numbers) in the subject line is because I don't think Nader will get more than 1% of the vote. Zogby has Nader getting 2%, and I think that may be high.

The actual real numbers are Kerry 50% Bush 40%, and Nader 3%.

[BillZBubb]

6. With Nader and undecideds it appears

40 50 3 6

Bush*, Kerry, Nader, Undecided

[still_one]

5. Please do not take anything too seriously

When the repupugs have their convention, and try to present a moderate image, you can believe that their distortion will affect the polls

[still_one]

7. You don't really think there will be an October surprise?

Please remember that Pakistan held off the news of the al queadia capture of the Africian embasy at the request the the bush administration, until the night that Kerry was to give his acceptance speech.

It is going to get much worse, and I hope we are prepared for it

[59millionmorons]

8. That was a bust

It got about 20 seconds in the nightly news. They didnt get what they paid for.