My Electoral Vote Prediction...(give me your thoughts)

[friesianrider]

Washington (11)
Oregon (7)
California (55)
Hawaii (4)
* Minnesota (10)
* Wisconsin (10)
* Michigan (17)
Illinois (21)
* Ohio (20)
Pennsylvania (21)
New Jersey (15)
Maryland (10)
DC (3)
New York (31)
Vermont (3)
* New Hampshire (4)
Massachusetts (12)
Rhode Island (4)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
* Iowa (7)


I added these up quickly and if I'm correct that gives us 275.

DUers that live in the states with the * next to them, how likely do you think Kerry winning there is? From what I can tell, it looks like the only one on this list that Gore didn't win was NH...

[friesianrider]

1. Oh, and...

If Colorado splits its EVs, all the better.

[otohara]

8. Not Looking Good In Polls For EV Split

only 33% support

[lil-petunia]

2. I suspect we will have 300 + votes, once the litigation is over.

[Chiyo-chichi]

3. You're not giving Kerry New Mexico?

[friesianrider]

5. No, I left that off, but I think it's likely he'll win it...

But we desperately need OH.

[Parche]

4. gore

Gore didnt win Ohio last time

Ohio is our victory state, that is the key

[dr.strangelove]

7. Its all about Ohio

You are so correct. Ohio will be the battle ground this year. Even if we lose Florida, which is possible with all the repuke fraud down there, if we sweep Ohio, Iowa, Minn, Pa and Mich, we will win without Florida. These are historically worker/union states with a strong Democratic base. We need to get these people out to vote, and prevent the right from log-jamming the polling places.

Call your local DNC chapter and volunteer to drive people to vote and watch out for repukes at the polling site and report them to the election managers if they come close to violating voting laws.

KERRY!!!

[Worst Username Ever]

6. MN is going to Kerry, no doubts at all.

[7th_Sephiroth]

9. Florida Exit polls show kerry up 17 points

eh heh heh heh

[friesianrider]

10. Wow...really?

Where was that from?

I just put little faith in Florida because it's, well, Florida.

[7th_Sephiroth]

12. from the exit pollers themselves

in wich i participated in, as well, the link is somewhere on DU

[friesianrider]

11. Wow...really?

Where was that from?

I just put little faith in Florida because it's, well, Florida.

[PSU84]

13. You left out Maine.

And I would not count on Iowa. Polls there have not been encouraging. Adding Maine and dropping Iowa adds up to 272.
Florida polls have been close, but latest SurveyUSA and ARG show Kerry +2 and +3 respectively in FL.