Who is the most Endangered Republican congressman?

[TakebackAmerica]

My three nominees, Anne Northrup, John Hostettler and Max Burns.

Anne Northrup- Kentucky 3rd Congressional District 52-48 50-48 Gore
Highly Competitive:

Since her 1996 election, she has survived three Democratic onslaughts. For the 2002 campaign, Democrats recruited Jack Conway. He ran an aggressive campaign against Rep. Northrup. Despite being outspent 2-1, Conway was able to keep this race close throughout. Northrup hammered Conway on his close ties to embattled Governor Paul Patton. On Election Day 2002, she won a narrow victory, 52-48. Her fundraising prowess has helped her hold on to the only Democratic leaning district in Kentucky. This is the only district in Kentucky that Gore carried, and it has a sizeable black and union population. If Democrats put up a strong candidate, they will be in a solid position to reclaim this district.

John Hostettler- Indiana 8th Congressional District 51-46 56-42 Bush
Highly Competitive:

Indiana’s 8th Congressional District was named the “Bloody Eighth” because of its reputation of close elections stemming back to 1984 when Frank McCloskey beat Richard McIntyre by 4 votes, 116,645 to 116,641. This district is the epitome of a swing district. According to the “2002 Almanac of American Politics,” this district at one point during the 1970s elected four congressmen in four successive elections. Since 1994, Rep. Hostettler has survived four close reelection bids. Yet Hostettler has raised a mere $5,018. He is the exact opposite of Northrup, having been out- spent, in two of his last three races. Rep. Hostettler has grown accustom to the close elections in the district. Expect this race to be heavily targeted by Democrats, who have a top notch candidate in Jon Jennings.


Max Burns- Georgia 12th Congressional District 55-45 54-45 Gore
Highly Competitive:

The father of Max Burns’ opponent, State Senate Majority Leader Charles Walker Sr., created this district for his son, much to the dismay of the voters. Rep. Burns was able to use voter dissatisfaction with Democratic redistricting and President Bush’s popularity to his advantage. On Election Day, Charles Walker Jr. and his father were defeated. The perception of Democratic gerrymandering haunted Georgia Democrats that year. This is the only district in Georgia that Al Gore won that is represented by a non black Democrat. Rep. Burns would be extremely vulnerable against a strong well-financed opponent. This predominantly Democratic district is the wrong place for a conservative like Max Burns. Rep. Burns is the weakest Republican incumbent in America.

[Wwagsthedog]

1. Chris Bell, TX 25

He is one of the Dem losers in the redistricting fiasco.

[ayeshahaqqiqa]

2. John Boozman, 3rd District AR

may be in danger of losing his seat. This is the seat that has been so safely Republican that even Bill Clinton couldn't unseat the then-incombant, John Paul Hammerschmidt (who still supported Nixon even after the revelations of the tapes). Boozman ran unopposed last time, to my great consternation. But this time, there are two people who plant to run against him-an independent and Democrat Jan Judy (who is expected to announce soon). Boozman's position is shaky because of his votes against veterans. I'm hoping we have a real race this time, and that we get a good Democrat in this seat.

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

3. shelly moore capito

of wv, if the democrats would put up a challenger

they're letting her run unopposed!
she was elected to bob wise's open seat because the democratic challenger, jim humpheries had such high negatives

put up a challenger who doesn't have such a polarizing effect on voters and her lukewarm support won't get her reelected



the problem with winning back the house isn't redistricting. it's the fact that our party never challenges gop incumbents. in the last election, only 12 gop house seats were contested.

the gop is agressive and constantly targets our guys, mainly because they have the resources to do it, as all of their unopposed seats are safe.

mcaulliffe needs to resign and someone with a spine who's sick of playing defense needs to take the job

[knight_of_the_star]

4. Darrel Issa

His involvement in the Recall can be thrown in his face along with the dissatisfaction that most voters have around here at his LACK of concern for his constituents.