‘Limits to Growth’ predictions surprisingly accurate after 37 years

[Barrett808]

From The Oil Drum:

This post relates to an article written by my advisor Charles Hall and a close friend of his. The article is available online, but is behind a paywall for nonacademic IPs.

There are only finite resources in the world, but population continues to grow. How will this situation resolve itself? This was a question a group of scientists (Meadows et al), commissioned by the "Club of Rome," attempted to answer back in 1972, in a book called Limits to Growth. The model they presented predicted growing resource scarcity, increasing pollution, and eventual population decline, all prior to 2100.

Charles A. S. Hall and John W. Day revisit these predictions in an article published this month in American Scientist called Revisiting the Limits to Growth After Peak Oil. Their analysis indicates that the predictions from 1972 were surprisingly accurate, considering how long ago they were made:

(more)

http://technozoic.blogspot.com/2009/04/limits-to-growth-predictions.html

[Nederland]

1. What wasn't said

This article conveniently ignores the numerous and completely wrong predictions made by fellow Club of Rome member Paul Erlich.

[pschoeb]

3. Paul Erlich was never a member of Club of Rome

So why should they mention him.

[Warren Stupidity]

4. .

[bananas]

2. The paper is available on Charles Halls website

http://www.esf.edu/EFB/hall/

[Warren Stupidity]

5. three indirect clicks later

Here is the actual article: http://www.americanscientist.org/issues/feature/2009/2/revisiting-the-limits-to-growth-after-peak-oil

and of course it is behind a wall of pay

[Dogmudgeon]

6. I was able to get it directly

There is a link the the upper right part of the page that goes right to the PDF.

http://www.esf.edu/efb/hall/2009-05Hall0327.pdf">Here is the direct link.

--d!

[nilram]

7. thanks. perfect. -nt

[Warren Stupidity]

8. TY DU is the greatest. nt.