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Definitive Party ID Link...Why Many Polls Are Dead Wrong

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 11:53 AM
Original message
Definitive Party ID Link...Why Many Polls Are Dead Wrong
Edited on Sat Oct-16-04 12:03 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
Next time you see a poll with more Repugnicans than Democrats think about this:


http://people-press.org/commentary/display.php3?AnalysisID=95




As for the election hold on to your seats, boys and girls, because an honest person doesn't have a clue who will win....


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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 12:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. If A Poll Has More Pugs Than Dems It's Horseshit..
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 12:17 PM
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2. Right, the pugs have never had more than 32%, not even
in the first few months after 9/11, yet they're weighted to 38% of the poll total in most polls. That means they've decreased Democrats from 33% down to 30% and independets a whopping 7%, from 37% down to 30%.

This is why the polls are wrong, this plus the fact that they haven't counted newly registered voters, where Democrats outnumber pubbies by at LEAST 3 to 1.

This is an attempt to suppress the Democratic vote. If people think another 4 year horror show run by the Bush family is inevitable, why vote?

I think they know damned full well they're losing this election. What they're trying to do now is the make it less humiliating a defeat so that they won't be completely out of power within their party.
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loathesomeshrub Donating Member (669 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 12:18 PM
Response to Original message
3. Kerry will win
"The Democrats held a small lead in party affiliation in the late 1990s" a small lead and yet didn't Clinton win by a landslide both times?
I have confidence that it will happen again. After all Dimson has way more problems than Dole did, even if Kerry isn't Clinton
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 12:35 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. This Election Is Going To Be Close...
I don't know who's going to win and any analysis is infected by my bias....

I hate the fact that the Electoral College favors the Pugs...

Small states get an extra vote and they own the south with the possible exception of Florida which is a southern state only by geography...
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