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They seem to see a huge shift in party idenification over to the GOP through the past few years, and these numbers have never been measured any near this hight before, the only comparable election is 1988 when Gallup measured self party idenification at 32% each. And they have asked the exact same question for decades in terms of party idenification.
This is not my experience, this is not what I have seen around, but this is what Gallup has been consistantly measuring over the past few months.
This is latest data I have access to:
September Wave 1 Question: D9 Field Date: 9/24/2004-9/26/2004 In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Mean: N/A Total N: 1006
% N
1 Republican 38.70 389
2 Democrat 31.36 315
3 Independent 26.27 264
4 OTHER PARTY (VOL) 0.18 2
5 DON'T KNOW 1.85 19
6 REFUSED 1.65 17
This is their last poll from 2000:
General Election Tracking Poll Week 9 Question: D7 Field Date: 10/30/2000-11/5/2000 In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent? Mean: N/A Total N: 8197
% N
1 Republican 28.66 2349
2 Democrat 34.38 2818
3 Independent 28.80 2361
4 OTHER PARTY (vol.) 0.83 68
5 DON'T KNOW/REFUSED 7.33 601
Last poll from 1996:
General Election Tracking Poll 1996 week 9 Question: D7 Field Date: 10/28/1996-11/3/1996 In politics, as of TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent? Mean: N/A Total N: 6114
% N
1 Republican 28.79 1760
2 Democrat 35.80 2189
3 Independent 27.74 1696
4 OTHER PARTY (vol.) 0.86 53
5 DON'T KNOW/REFUSED 6.80 416
Last poll from 1992:
Presidential Election October Benchmark Question: D10 Field Date: 10/23/1992-10/25/1992 In politics, as of TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent? Mean: N/A Total N: 1602
% N
1 Republican 29.58 474
2 Democrat 36.39 583
3 Independent 31.07 498
4 OTHER PARTY (vol.) 1.13 18
5 DON'T KNOW/REFUSED 1.84 29
Last number from 1988:
Voter Perceptions of the Presidential Campaign Question: qn19 Field Date: 10/20/1988-10/21/1988 In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Mean: N/A Total N: 1641
% N
1 Republican 32.88 539
2 Democrat 32.79 538
3 Independent 31.56 518
4 Other 0.30 5
0 Don't Know 2.48 41
Last numbers from 1984:
The Gallup Poll #244G Question: qn902 Field Date: 10/26/1984-10/29/1984 In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Mean: N/A Total N: 2711
% N
1 Republican 33.68 913
2 Democrat 37.60 1019
3 Independent 25.84 700
4 Other party 1.63 44
0 Undesignated 1.25 34
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