Zogby says bush's Black support is no better now than in 2000

[sonicx]

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=898

snip

In 2000, Vice President Gore took a huge margin among African-Americans, winning them 90% to 9% for Mr. Bush. In 2000 our tracking poll on October 20th showed Mr. Gore leading Mr. Bush 85% to 9% with 4% undecided. Our tracking poll today shows Mr. Kerry leading Mr. Bush 83% to 8% with 8% undecided. In fact, among our sample of likely African American voters, more say they are very likely to vote in this election (96%) than said they were very likely to vote in 2000 (93%). And, with Democratic-leaning 527 groups focusing heavily on minority voter registration and turnout, African Americans could comprise more of the electorate than the 10% they made up last time.

snip

Mr. Bush’s marks among African Americans suggest he has plenty of room for improvement—and that he has not made any appreciable gains over 2000. Mr. Kerry is viewed favorably by nine-out-of-ten (90%) African Americans, while Mr. Bush is viewed favorably by less than one-in-five (19%). Mr. Bush scores very low on his job-approval rating as well, with less than one-in-ten (9%) approving. Worrisome for Mr. Bush, too, is that African Americans overwhelmingly think the country is headed in the wrong direction (80%), while just one-in-eight (13%) think the country is headed in the right direction. And Mr. Bush’s re-elect numbers may be lower with this group than any other demographic: fewer than one-in-ten (9%) say Mr. Bush deserves to be reelected, while eight of every nine African Americans (88%) say it’s time for someone new.

:D

[RoyGBiv]

1. No Polls Necessary ...

I don't need a poll to tell me that. The one posted earlier today claiming Shrub has 18% support ... PUHLEEZE.

[sonicx]

2. i know. that's why Zogby posted this, i bet.

[RoyGBiv]

4. Good point ...

Hadn't thought of that.

[elperromagico]

7. They just took Kerry's 83% and subtracted it from 100%, it seems to me.

Ouila. Le fuzzy math.

[Cha]

3. Just some more of their LIES to make

it seem like bush is getting some votes.

[DuaneBidoux]

5. Doesn't NEED to get BETTER

Just needs to stay, on a % basis, the same. It's the turnout that needs to go up!

[elperromagico]

6. Kerry will probably reach 90% among African-Americans.

There are in this demographic, as in most demographics, a group of dedicated undecideds who do not like Bush but are not sure about Kerry. Most of them will shift to Kerry.

[JI7]

8. hopefully with the planned campaigning with Clinton they can get turnout

also.

[mitchtv]

9. I forget which channel had it,but yesterday they said

69% supported kerry.(I think it was ABC) What bilge! You think the AA's forgot Florida 2K? I don't

[sonicx]

11. that's why Zogby posted this

to refute that propaganda poll. That same poll in 2000 said Gore would get 75% black support. :eyes:

[Zen Democrat]

10. When the Big Dog gets out there, Kerry may get 95% American-American vote

[Roland99]

12. Bush has probably gained a few black Southern Baptists due to abortion...

but has probably lost more over other issues.

[vickie]

13. As a black person, I could have told you this - and I'm not a

renowned pollster!

[sonicx]

14. yeah, but there was some propaganda poll out yesterday that said...

kerry was 'struggling' with black voters. the media went nuts with it.

[rogue emissary]

15. Now lets see the media covers this poll

Since Zogby's polls have been some of the most consistent polling out there.

:shrug: