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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:24 AM
Original message
Recent Polls: Wisconsin
Edited on Sat Oct-23-04 12:37 AM by tedoll78
Mason-Dixon, 10/21
Bush 45
Kerry 45
Nader 1


U of Minnesota, 10/21
Bush 48
Kerry 47
Nader 1


Gallup, 10/21
Bush 51
Kerry 43
Nader 3


St Norbert College, 10/20
Bush 43
Kerry 48
Nader 2


ARG, 10/20
Bush 47
Kerry 47
Nader 2


Rasmussen, 10/16
Bush 47
Kerry 48
Nader 1

The verdict? It looks like a tie. I wonder about party proportions in each survey. Nader could be the factor here.


ON EDIT:
Bush Average: 46.8%
Kerry Average: 46.3%
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kikiek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think the factor still is under estimating democratic turn out
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Wapsie B Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:28 AM
Response to Original message
2. Two words.
Kerry/Edwards Landslide. Ok 3 words.
Believe it.
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Dudley_DUright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:29 AM
Response to Original message
3. Although I graduated from the U. of Minnesota
I have always admired St. Norbert College. Go Green Knights! ;-)
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:29 AM
Response to Original message
4. Looks like a tie to me too. I'm not worried about Nadar.
I think the difference in this election is going to be the firs time voters. Lots are younr, only have cell phones, and are dismissed because "they didn't vote in 2000.

I have a good feeling about this election. I think the pollsters, media, and talking heads are all going to be surprised, and have to admit they just didn't see this big of a win for Kerry coming!
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FrankenforMN Donating Member (239 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:30 AM
Response to Original message
5. The factor is not Nader. It is turnout.
Russ Feingold just waxed Tim Michaels in a debate, so hopefully that and a good ground effort will get the democrat vote out.
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Firespirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
6. And Gallup is the outlier as usual.
Geez, why does that outfit have ANY credibility??? (Don't answer -- I know. I just wanted to vent.)

The M/D poll is actually pleasing to me... Emerging Dem Majority's blog analyzed it and found a consistent pro-* slant in that poll. If it shows Wisconsin tied, then Kerry is probably ahead a bit. And the * support number of 45% is great! I was beginning to worry about that state.
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serryjw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:43 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. NOW with Bill Moyer.....WISCONSON segment
Did anyone see it? I was disappointed that no one asked these people how they were voting. So much is being said against the multinationals BUT is anyone connecting the dots that is all because of the RW agenda?
Corporate America is going to to continue to destroy America. No One can live when they replace their past job with one that pays less than 50%
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 02:10 AM
Response to Original message
8. kick
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