New Newsweek Poll *48% Kerry 46% LV

[Thrill]

NATIONAL

Newsweek, Oct. 21-22, 880 LV, MoE +/-4

(Results from mid-October Newsweek poll in parentheses)

_Bush-Cheney, 48 percent (50)

_Kerry-Edwards, 46 percent (44)

_Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1)

_Unsure, 5 percent (5)

[NMDemDist2]

1. didn't they oversample repubs again? n/t

[whirlygigspin]

2. tied at 46-46

The poll of 1,008 registered voters, including 880 likely voters—conducted Thursday and Friday—finds President Bush’s lead in last week’s NEWSWEEK poll has evaporated.

Among likely voters, the Bush-Cheney ticket leads 48 percent to 46 percent for Kerry-Edwards, with 1 percent for Nader-Camejo and 5 percent undecided. In last week’s poll (Oct. 14-15), Bush-Cheney led 48 percent to 46 percent among registered voters, and 50 percent to 44 among likely voters.

This week’s poll cuts the president’s lead among likely vot­ers by more than half.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6312421/site/newsweek

read it for yourself

[montana500]

3. this is a good poll. woman #'s more normal

and 46% approval for Bush.

[annxburns]

4. Time and Newsweek flip flopped

Last week Newsweek had Bush up and Time had it tied.

Glad to see this none the less, means the dynamics of the race haven't changed much. Bush is still under 48% and the undecideds are leaning Kerry.

Because of turnout, new voters and undersampling of minorities - I am convinced that if Kerry is within 3-4 points, he wins.

[rjbny62]

5. Kerry also closing gap on Rasmussen

picked up nearly 2 points, * 48% Kerry 47%

[featherman]

6. Possibly the most important stat I've seen this polling season

is from this Newsweek poll:

In the new poll, fully 77 percent of Kerry voters say Nov. 2 is the “single most important election” of their lifetime (37 percent), or more important than most other elections (40 percent). In comparison, 27 percent of Bush supporters view this as the single most important elec­tion of their lifetime, while 35 percent view it as more important than most other elec­tions.

Is this an indication of DEM edge in likely turnout or what?