How to read mainstream corporate polls

[ciaobox]

It is very simple. Look for the margin of error, double it and add that number to Kerry's column while subtracting it from Bush. By my calcs, Kerry is up by 5-8 points nationally and more in almost every swing states.

Smile! Kerry by a landslide!

[NMDemDist2]

1. most pollsters agree that the incumbant will win the percentage

he is polling at and the challenger will pull the rest

so if * is polling at 47 that's what he'll get subtract 1% for 3rd party leave Kerry at 52%

sweet

[Wapsie B]

2. That's probably a very good way

of looking at them. You know those #'s are massaged to hell and back before they're published.

[ciaobox]

3. Right. Exactly my point.

The pollsters have a vested interest in seeing Bush re-selected. Just follow my formula and you will find confidence in our man, JK. Kerry by a landslide.