Where things *really* stand : big picture, beyond the day-to-day tracking

[jefferson_dem]

According to Chris Bowers at http://www.mydd.com/ -

Here is where things stand:

Kerry holds a commanding lead in the battleground states, according to post-debate polling.

Undecideds break heavily for the challenger, especially in Presidential Elections. This will only serve to further increase Kerry's lead in the battleground states.

According to Real Clear Politics, which regularly fishes for pro-Bush polls, Bush is under 47.5 in states worth 277 electoral votes. It will be very difficult for him to win any of these states, including Ohio where he rarely travels anymore. He is under 49 in states worth 316 electoral votes, and over 50 in states wroth only 202 electoral votes.

According to the most recent polls from the fifteen polling firms that have conducted polls entirely after the third debate, Bush is only at 47.3% simple mean to Kerry's 45.9% simple mean. The median is Bush 47, Kerry 46. In the history of Presidential elections since there was public polling, no incumbent has amassed a large enough percentage of undecideds to hold on to such a small lead.

<SNIP>

http://www.mydd.com/

Now...who the fuck has the mo? Huh? We do. That's who!

[NMDemDist2]

1. thassss RIGHT !! can i get an AMEN sistah? n/t

[billybob537]

2. It's Massachusetts trifecta time.

Red Sox, Patriots, and John F Kerry.

[jefferson_dem]

3. Check out this mammoth outpouring of good folks in Reno yesterday.

[TomClash]

4. No one should let up . . .

. . . but we can carve up Bush like a pumpkin or a turkey - barring a spectacular October surprise in the last 7 days - he's done.

I expect a huge turnout - at least 55% - and most of the increase will back Kerry. Plus, the Bush facade is cracking everywhere. Many conservatives will stay home, vote 3rd party or even vote for Kerry. In fact, I think some red states will be much closer than expected and there may be two or three unexpected gains. Our side will come out in huge numbers.

I may be too optimistic but I think the worm has turned. Let's keep working hard anyway.

[MichiganVote]

5. And all this means is that it's cheatin' time for the Repub's

Watch your vote people