Bush Job Approval: The most telling stat of all

[TruthIsAll]

At 48%?

Toast.

[Burma Jones]

1. I like my Toast with Peanut Butter

Preferably from Jimmy Carter's farm.........

[DaveSZ]

5. Truman is the only pres to be reelected under 50% right?

[KharmaTrain]

11. Truman Was In A 4-Man Race

You Had Strom Thurmond sucking off the wingnuts/racists (Democrats in those days) and Henry Wallace going for the liberal/Progressives. The polls in those days undersampled the many first time voters (returning WWII vets...most who were Democrats and moderates).

Even comparisons with Clinton in '92 don't work here...as Perot took 19% of the popular vote...most of it from Poppy Bush that I'm sure ate 5% off his total.

This is looking more and more like '80...Raygun finishing very strong and what appeared as a dead-even race turned into an electoral college "landslide" for Raygun. Just like now, Carter fought the last month of the race on the defensive and the combination of the mess in IraN and the bad economy did him in.

[aquart]

2. Why is it so high?

[Skittles]

4. I don't understand that either, aquart, and I don't believe it

I think the polls are flawed.

[spanone]

6. Damn good question. Why does half this country believe anything this

criminal says.

[spanone]

8. Click on the image and look at the Fox line!!!

And Murdoch says there is no bias at Faux. Bwahahahahahahahahaha

[Worst Username Ever]

3. You are on a roll today TIA

[Lex]

7. Basically he CAN'T WIN with an approval number that low.

That's what I've read several times now.

It would be absolutely unprecedented for a sitting President with an approval number that low to win.

Isn't that right, TIA?

[TexasSissy]

9. Actually, his JA average is over 50%. Not good for us.

See www.realclearpolitics.com for a listing of recent JA and the average.

Here ya go:

Poll Date Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 10/18 - 10/25 50.3% 47.0% +3.3%
Rasmussen 10/23 - 10/25 52% 48% +4%
CNN/USA Today/Gallup 10/22 - 10/24 51% 46% +5%
Los Angeles Times 10/21 - 10/24 49% 49% TIE
Newsweek 10/21 - 10/22 46% 47% -1%
Time 10/19 - 10/21 53% 44% +9%
GW/Battleground 10/18 - 10/21 52% 44% +8%
ABC/Wash Post 10/18 - 10/20 52% 46% +6%
AP-Ipsos 10/18 - 10/20 47% 52% -5%


But the good news is....50% JA may not be enough to win. It's that netherland where it's not good enough to signal a win, but not bad enough to signal a loss. An average of below 50% is what would be best. You're right...I think THIS is a number that is far more important than head to head polls. This, plus the battleground state EV counts.

[aden_nak]

10. You can actually see him squander the support he gained on 9/11.