This map + Michigan = OUR VICTORY ON TUESDAY

[Proud2BAmurkin]

Check it out. AWOL is going down.

www.electoral-vote.com

(oh, and we're going to win Hawaii. DUH)

[bobbyboucher]

1. Cal= weak Kerry?

No cred.

[Hepburn]

2. Well....

....I dont know where they got the idea that Calif is weak Kerry. At least not in West LA!

[nadinbrzezinski]

4. The rural urban split

Kerry is very strong in urban areas but weak to non whatsoever in the central valley and other rural areas.

In the sum total it may appear that way.

try to find the LA times story regarding how things have shifted from north south, to east west in cali

[Worst Username Ever]

5. Without the bay area,

which is HUGE, CA is a repug state.

[NDFan]

9. What about Los Angeles?

Gore won the LA county by nearly a million votes. His margin statewide was 1.5 million.

And San Diego county only went to Bush by 3 percentage points in 2000.

If you calculate the entire "liberal" vote in SD(Gore plus Nader voters), Gore has 49.2 percent. Bush won 49.6 percent.

In 2000, San Bernardino county went for Bush by 1.5 percentage points. If you lump Nader's vote (2.6 percent) with Gore's, the liberal vote made up 49.8 percent of the vote.

The Republican strongholds aren't delivering anymore. California is going deep blue!

[Tesibria]

14. Look at the numbers ...

apparently you need to be 20 points ahead to be strong -- CA shows 53% Kerry, 44% Bush.

I'd say that's pretty safe -- especially with Ahnald as Gov.

[Worst Username Ever]

3. Here is his prediction

http://www.electoral-vote.com/pred/index.html

doens't matter who gets FLA

[MsUnderstood]

11. Dammit where is the excitement, the drama

of watching a man stare cross eyed at a chadded ballot?

I want my Fall drama!!

[maxsolomon]

6. just need michigan & ohio

and he's toast.

wake up midwest!

[doni_georgia]

7. Michigan puts us well over the 270 mark and we KNOW we have that one

How the hell this map shows Michigan tied is beyond me. Aren't the latest reliable polls showing about a 7-10 point margin?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. The Latest Poll Wins On That Site And Zogby Has It Tied (NT)

[doni_georgia]

17. I've seen others today - can't remember which ones showing us up a

bundle. Tell you right now, we are going to win Hawaii, Michigan, and my guess is Iowa too. I really don't think this thing will be close. My gut from studying elections says that any state that Bush hasn't gone above 48% is ours come Tuesday.

[Bandit]

10. They have Hawaii as a Bush* state

I don't think so..

[kostya]

13. He has it as "weak Bush", has to follow what the polls say

and there just aren't that many for HI. It's darker than it should be because the size is too small to squeeze in some white. - K

[BootinUp]

12. Swap CO and NM and I think thats it. -eom

[greekspeak]

15. Agree

I think that you are exactly right.

[no name no slogan]

16. We WILL win MN

There's still a small "Nader Factor" here (5%, according to last poll), but that will probably melt away to 1-2% by tuesday.

IIRC, Nader had 10% this time in 2000, and he ended up with only 5% on election day. This year, however, most of his support (including that of his 2000 running mate, MN native Wynona LaDuke) is going to Kerry.

We WILL win MN.