WaPo Daily Tracking Poll: * 50% Kerry 47%

[tritsofme]

* up 1 Kerry down 1 from yesterday.

[dennis4868]

1. All this bad news for Bush.....

and he keeps going up.....

UP IS DOWN, AND DOWN IS UP!

This makes no sense.... :-(

[pmbryant]

2. Statistical fluctuations don't need to make sense.

Remember that ABC/Washington Post predicted Bush would win by 3% in 2000.

--Peter

[lancdem]

3. Turnout is all that matters

Read Skinner's thread on the front page about how optimistic Kerry's people are.

[exsoccermom]

10. Yes, and one interesting thing under Trends

Message:
was that bush had a 9% (vs 6%) chance to change mind (91% of bush supporters say they will definitely vote for him vs. 94% of Kerry supporters). The demographics are also rather different than previously. May have just hit a red patch.

[tritsofme]

4. Kerry's big Sunday just moved off the average

They said Sat and Sunday were his best days ever in this poll, so this uptick was to be expected.

It is a 4 day rolling average.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. Why Is Zogby Wapo and TIPP Going In Different Directions..

www.zogby.com


www.tipponline.com


www.washingtonpost.com


these tracking polls are inversely correlated

[tritsofme]

9. Everything gets muddled by MOE

any way you look at it, its too close to call.

[cubsfan forever]

5. WaPO is a RW propaganda rag

They are saying Bunnypants is "ahead" by 3% because they know that all other internal polls have his ceiling at 47%, ergo, they just bumped it up to make him look better.

Professor 2

[DeepModem Mom]

6. kick

[qanda]

7. Maybe stuff like this will bring DU back down to Earth

And get us back to work.