|
Edited on Fri Nov-05-04 12:07 AM by Silverhair
I have a gay stepson with whom I have a good relationship, so don't call me anti-gay. Nor am I espousing ANY particualar stand on any issue. I am predicting. To predict is NOT to advocate. When the weatherman says a tornado is coming, that does not mean that he wants the tornado.
The religious right turned out big time to put Bush in office, and it was greatly over the gay marriage issue, and in more states than just the 11 states that had anti-gay marriage amendments on their ballots. Therefore Bush owes them big time, and they will expect him to carry through, or they will sit out the vote in 06. Bush knows this and will put the Federal Marriage Amendment in congress again. Even if it doesn't pass, from his point of view it keeps the issue alive to attack Democrats with. Expect the Reps to have STRONG party discipline in the House & Senate. Expect some Democrats that are up for reelection in 06 that are in red states to develop some weak knees. (Hey, look what happened to Democrats on the Assualt Weapons bill this year. Weak knees after the slaughter of 94. BTW - the assualt weapons bill was merely cosmetics that accomplished very little. Genuine AWs were already illegal. That bill merely banned look alike guns, even if they didn't have the internal machinery of an real AW. But that is off topic. The point is that the political price was shown to be high for the AW ban, and has been shown to be VERY high for supporting gay marriage.)
I read somewhere today that some gays are going to challenge the anti-gay marriage amendments. That will end up in SCOTUS. Supreme Court nominees are going to be a MAJOR item in the next term. Don't expect Bush to give an inch here. He will be ready to have any level of Senate fight over confirmation. If we block his nominees by filibuster, and at the same time there is a gay marriage case working it's way up the court system, he will use that to whip up the religious right.
If Democrats are able to block an FMA, or block Bush's ultra conservative nominees to SCOTUS, then look for the religious right to come out in droves in 06. None of our web sites were expecting 55 Rep senators. Some were even thinking that we would retake the senate. All were expecting that we would carry the senate in OK. Several other races looked to be good. We got our clock cleaned on the senate races.
The storm is coming. Sorry, but I don't have any ideas. We can't drop the gays without losing the principless we stand for. But at the same time, the issue is killing us.
Anybody have any ideas to solve the problem?
|