Watch for Gephardt's 10-11% to go to Kerry
WilliamPitt
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Mon Jan-19-04 08:57 PM
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Watch for Gephardt's 10-11% to go to Kerry
If he doesn't get to 15%, he may throw his people to Kerry. That will be the ballgame. 645 of 1993 precincts reporting
AP
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Mon Jan-19-04 08:58 PM
Response to Original message
1. Once they report, it's over, no?
WilliamPitt
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Mon Jan-19-04 08:59 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Yes, but I don't think they've reported yet. I may be wrong.
Edited on Mon Jan-19-04 08:59 PM by WilliamPitt
My boss threw this at me. Food for thought.
fishguy
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Mon Jan-19-04 08:58 PM
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2. I bet you are right, but I bet some support also goes to Edwards and Clark
jenk
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Mon Jan-19-04 08:59 PM
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3. most of it is going to edwards
NewYorkerfromMass
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Mon Jan-19-04 08:59 PM
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5. You're right Will. They are contemporaries as well as colleagues
Age/seniority plays a big factor in these things. People like Tom Harkin notwithstanding.
SadEagle
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Mon Jan-19-04 09:01 PM
Response to Original message
6. AFAIK, it's per-precinct.
So the 11% is from the caucuses where he got over 15%. Those where he did worse are likely what's helping Edwards' score a lot.
elperromagico
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Mon Jan-19-04 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Yes, and that explains why Lieberman and Sharpton have 0% each.
Edited on Mon Jan-19-04 09:05 PM by elperromagico
Gephardt's 10% is Gephardt's 10%, I believe. The precincts which have already reported are finished voting. I could be wrong...
fishnfla
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Mon Jan-19-04 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #6
Its done on the local level.
HazMat
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Mon Jan-19-04 09:01 PM
Response to Original message
Gephardt's supporters are more likely to go to Kerry than anyone else ( both experienced, old school Democrats, strong on defense, appeal to blue collar men).
sistersofmercy
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Mon Jan-19-04 09:04 PM
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8. Absolutely right on imo.
Also, when and if (so I don't offned anyone) Gephardt drops out of the candidacy his supporters will go to Kerry.
LiviaOlivia
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Mon Jan-19-04 09:08 PM
Response to Original message
Sen. Kerry's Free Trade stance is a problem with unions.
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