What follows is recent data on personal income and certainy appears to me as being "good news." Now it certainly might not be "good enough," or maybe it is, I don't know, but if you follow financial news at all you'd have to admit that a lot of data is positive. I don't think it's smart politically to attempt to manufacture bad news.
http://www.economicindicators.govEMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EST, THURSDAY, DECEMBER 1, 2005
James E. Rankin: (202) 606-5301 (Personal Income)BEA 05-51
Michael Armah: (202) 606-5302 (Personal Outlays)
PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS: OCTOBER 2005
Personal income increased $42.5 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI)
increased $26.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, in October, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $15.1 billion, or 0.2 percent. In September,
personal income rebounded from the effects of Hurricane Katrina and increased $174.8 billion, or
1.7 percent, DPI increased $172.0 billion, or 1.9 percent, and PCE increased $46.8 billion, or 0.5
percent, based on revised estimates.
2005
June July Aug. Sept. Oct.
(Percent change from preceding month)
Personal income, current dollars 0.5 0.4 -1.0 1.7 0.4
Disposable personal income:
Current dollars 0.5 0.4 -1.1 1.9 0.3
Chained (2000) dollars 0.4 0.1 -1.5 1.0 0.2
Personal consumption expenditures:
Current dollars 1.0 1.4 -0.5 0.5 0.2
Chained (2000) dollars 1.0 1.1 -0.9 -0.4 0.1
This news release also presents revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and
contributions for government social insurance for April through June 2005 (second quarter). These
estimates reflect newly available second-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the quarterly
census of employment and wages from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The October, September, and August estimates of personal income reflect the effects of
Hurricanes Wilma, Rita and Katrina. Rental income of persons and proprietors' income together
were reduced by about $10 billion (at an annual rate) in October, by about $5 billion in September,
and by about $240 billion in August to reflect the uninsured losses of residential and business
property. "Other current transfer receipts from business (net)" was boosted by about $13 billion (at
an annual rate) in October, by about $7 billion in September, and by about $120 billion in August to
reflect insurance benefits payments to persons. Excluding these effects, which are discussed more
fully below, personal income increased $42.1 billion, or 0.4 percent, in October, after increasing
$52.1 billion, or 0.5 percent, in September, and $19.8 billion, or 0.2 percent, in August. Because
other effects of the hurricanes were embedded in BEA's source data and could not be separately
identified, BEA did not attempt to quantify their impact.
For more information on how disasters are treated in the national accounts, see FAQs on
"Disasters" on BEA's Web site.
Wages and salaries
Private wage and salary disbursements increased $32.9 billion in October, compared with an
increase of $15.2 billion in September. Goods-producing industries' payrolls increased $12.6
billion, in contrast to a decrease of $1.9 billion; manufacturing payrolls increased $10.2 billion, in
contrast to a decrease of $3.0 billion. Services-producing industries' payrolls increased $20.3
billion, compared with an increase of $17.1 billion. Government wage and salary disbursements
increased $1.5 billion, compared with an increase of $4.3 billion.