New Hampshire Poll (7 News/Suffolk U): Clinton 36%, Obama 22%

[Karmadillo]

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/01/01/542238.aspx

From NBC’s Domenico Montanaro
With exactly a week to go until New Hampshire, McCain has pulled ahead of Romney and Clinton has opened back up a double-digit lead in New Hampshire, according to a 7News/Suffolk University poll.

McCain gained 12 points since a month ago in the same survey to vault ahead of Romney 31%-25%. Romney had led in the December Suffolk poll 31%-19% over McCain. Giuliani is third with 14%, a three-point drop from 17%.

A month ago, Clinton led Obama by 7 points (33%-26%), but now the poll shows her with a whopping 36%-22% lead. Apparently, Clinton has peeled away some of those undecideds from a month ago as that number dropped from 19% to just 12% this month. Edwards comes in third with 14%. (He had 15% in December.)

The Republican numbers: McCain 31%, Romney 25%, Giuliani 14%, Huckabee 9%.

The Democratic numbers: Clinton 36%, Obama 22%, Edwards 14%.

more...

[Hardrada]

1. Polls are meaningless at this point.

[antiimperialist]

6. Sour grapes

Sorry, had to use Obama supporters' favorite phrase from last night after the DMR poll had him up by 7% in Iowa: if you dispute a poll, you are eating sour grapes.

[Hardrada]

8. Still, one must wait and see the results no matter the numbers.

I would include an Obama or Edwards front-running poll as useless to me. Too many variables here in Iowa.

[Lucinda]

2. Thanks!

[emilyg]

3. TY

[Cameron27]

4. Looks good, we'll see what happens!

[Robbins]

5. New Hampshere

First off funny that the Clinton people dismiss polls that doesn't look good for them but the minute
their cronies put out a poll favorable to them it Is taken as Gossep.Remember 2004.Dean was leading
In New Hampshere till Kerry won In Iowa.If Obama wins Iowa then he has a good shot at New Hampshere.
On the same time Obama winning In Iowa hurts Mccain In New Hampshere because Indepenedents are more likely to vote for Obama than him.

[loveangelc]

10. yup.

[Proud2BAmurkin]

7. wow

nt

[forsberg]

9. Now Obama must win Iowa BIG in order to stay in the race

Even a small win over Hillary won't be enough to trump her in NH. He has to win by 8+ points in Iowa to move the NH numbers quickly. If Hillary wins Iowa, Obama will be crushed in NH because this deficit will only grow.

[bigdarryl]

11. Poll doesn't show the independents which is why i think its closer than these numbers

[Sparkly]

12. It was said on teevee again how "independent" NH is...

... and how they don't like Iowa 'telling them how to vote.'

That's gone out the window for me after 2004. NH can and has gone, "Oh yeah, what Iowa said."

And with Iowa up in the air, and NH being unpredictable, who knows what NH will do? (On the other hand, that is a pretty substantial lead Clinton has.) Time will tell!