Why The Polls Were Wrong

[mrdemocrat78]

Okay, from what I understand, this is why the polls were all wrong.

first off, hillary's actual poll numbers were only off by 1%. She polled at gettting 38% of the votes, and she got 39%.

were the big screw up was with obama. The pollsters gave him the bump they expected him to get from the Iowa win out of the undecided votes. What they failed to do was tell us how his numbers were so bloated. Normally, when they give polls, they will just say 39-38 with "X%" undecided.

Well, like i said, this time they just "guessed" that he would get the bump like he did in Iowa... but he obviosly didn't.

I heard all this last night, and if it seems like I'm screwing it up... You can see the vid on msnbc.com

[MethuenProgressive]

1. polls weren't wrong, they said BO would get mid-30s, he got 36%

The polls were spot on.

[mrdemocrat78]

2. No....

The said he was going to win big... Hillary's polls had her losing by 11% and Obama's had him winning by 13%, almost all the polls had him winning by double digits. Remeber?

[MethuenProgressive]

3. No...

The pundits said he'd win big. The polls are just numbers. And the number ignored by the pundits, and by the 'we wuz robbed' bunch is that 40% NH voters said they were undecided.

[mrdemocrat78]

4. That's how Obama got the huge poll numbers

That's why they said he was going to win by 10%+ because they gave him a bump.

I know what the numbers were, but the polls reported to us said he was going to win big. They were WRONG about the bump. They added in numbers that he just didn't get. After Iowa they expected him to get them. They (pollsters & pundits) got lazy.

[mrdemocrat78]

5. This is what Randi says...

If you take a look at the polls... they weren't wrong.

Leading up to the vote on tuesday...

36% obama 28% clinton 40% undecided

Obviously the pollsters screwed up on the 40% undecided.

That being said... We all (myself included) can stop the name calling and conspiracy theorys. People just voted for Clinton.