ARG SC Obama 44, Clinton 38, Edwards 9

[Perky]

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among white voters 50% to 26%, with 14% for John Edwards. Obama leads Clinton among African-American voters 64% to 24%, with 4% for Edwards.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[Fabio]

1. If Edwards pulls support in this range (8-12%) on primary day

what do you think the ramifications are given that he is (technically) a native son?

[Renew Deal]

13. It means it's over.

You can't get 8% at home and be considered viable.

[William769]

2. And you think thats good?

[Perky]

4. we will see on Primary night.

[William769]

5. if that holds true on primary night, I'll be ecstatic!

[Perky]

8. So would I!!!

50% of the Democratic voters in the state are African Americans.

That translates into an Obama Win.

[William769]

9. But not a massacre as some would have us believe.

:rofl:

[Perky]

10. I think they maybe underestimating AA turnout.

I would like to know what the sample is like.

[William769]

11. You did the post, and you didn'r do your homework?

[Perky]

18. I was talking about the Demographic profile they used

Are they profiling a 50% AA turnout? Are they using historic averages? Are they bumping the number up the AA turnout because of the Obama Factor?



They really do not go into any detail.

[skipos]

3. Edwards won this state in 2004 with 45% of the vote

ARG has been very bad lately, but I don't doubt Edwards will come in a distant 3rd here. He shouldn't have focused so much on Iowa, imo.

[suston96]

6. Sounds good. Hillary gets 24% of blacks in SC? Awesome!

[skipos]

12. Compared to her 75% support from them a few weeks ago! Victory! Mission Accomplished!

:eyes:

[suston96]

14. A few weeks ago? Uh, maybe before Obama decided to run......

[skipos]

15. Victory! Mission accomplished! nt

[Bonobo]

17. Wouldn't it sound ridiculous if Obama side said that about 24% of the women?

[suston96]

19. Uh, do the math. If Hillary gets 24% of the black vote and enough of the white vote......

[balantz]

7. Maybe Edwards can get supporters bussed in for him on the day of the vote?

Oh yeah, that only worked in the "no I.D." caucus in Iowa.

[Connie_Corleone]

16. Edwards practically lived in Iowa for 4 years campaigning.

Don't blame imaginary bussed in voters for his second place showing.

[PresidentObama]

20. In other news, I haven't trusted ARG since Iowa.

[MH1]

21. Cool. nt