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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:05 AM
Original message
It's All About The Margins...
The ONLY chance the Republicans have of pulling out a victory in November, is a Clinton\McCain match-up. And I doubt they can even do that.

However, I'm pretty sure there will be no landslide victory for Hillary Clinton. She will bring out Republican voters to the polls that might otherwise have sat this one out. Independents given a choice betweewn the two, might not want to go through anymore Clinton dramas, and might settle on McCain. And she will garner tepid support from many a progressive Democrat. ie... "I'll vote for her, but I won't actively support her" (money, canvassing, phone-banking, bumper-stickers, rallies, etc.) Plus you have to wonder how many of the new young bright-eyed voters are prepared to vote for her if she manages to crush Obama in the upcoming primaries. When Hubert Humphrey became the Dem standard bearer after the assassination of RKF, and the riots of the 68 Convention, many young idealistic people said, "To hell with the whole thing" and did not vote.

Obama on the other hand, if he manages to pull this thing out, could continue to build on his movement, while adding more and more voters to the registration rolls. And if it were to become a legitimate phenomenon, we just could see a landslide victory in November for the Democrats.

Which would carry within its coat-tails, increases in our majorities in both houses. It would also put the minority on notice that they'd better play ball.

The biggest changes in our way of life here in the good ole USA, came after such landslides. The New Deal after the 1932 Election, and the Civil and Voting Rights Acts after the 1964 Election.

It is time for such changes once again.

:shrug:

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Tarc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:09 AM
Response to Original message
1. For every alleged "Clinton hater" she's attract
McCain would turn off an equal number of conservatives. Don't think many here realize just how loathed he is among the party faithful. Even Rush is instructing his Dittoheads to trash him.
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:13 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I Hear What Your Saying, But...
I truly don't think it is "equal".

Many a Republican would come out, not so much to vote FOR McCain, but AGAINST Bill and Hillary Clinton.

I'd say the diff is about 2 to 1.

:shrug:
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. The Reich Wing hates McCain.
They would loathe getting behind him. If it were Hillary v. Old Man Cain, expect the RW talkers and religious right to throw their hands in the air, declare it a choice between two NYT's Liberals and stay home on their self-righteous asses.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:36 AM
Response to Original message
4. In case you hadnt noticed, Clinton took about 30% of the republican vote last night

That voted in the democratic primary.
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:41 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Link Please ???
Thanks in advance.

:shrug:
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