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MSNBC's Fineman: Clinton aides admit it's nearly impossible to win via pledged delegates now

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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:54 PM
Original message
MSNBC's Fineman: Clinton aides admit it's nearly impossible to win via pledged delegates now
Their goal is to keep it as close as possible, and hope to win via superdelegates with as little outcry as possible.

Their hope is to only be down by about 35-40 pledged delegates, and win the undemocratic way.
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seafan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:59 PM
Response to Original message
1. Fineman also said that if Senator Clinton is behind in pledged delegates and tries
to finagle the superdelegates to take the nomination away from Obama, it will unleash a firestorm in the Democratic Party.


Fineman is correct on this.

I truly hope this does not happen.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. She will be despised if she does this.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. For asking people for their votes? I would think the Supers would be more responsible than her.
She says, hey, support me.

And they do, or they don't.

If they do, blame them... they're not robots.
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Abacus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:26 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. I'll blame both, how's that?
If the situation were the other way around, I'd expect Barack to concede.
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JimGinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #3
12. Sure...
Like there wouldn't be any arm twisting & "promises" involved. It's the lowest kind of politics - disenfranchising the VOTERS for personal gain. Sell that to the electorate.

:mad:
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
23. If that happens, 1st black president (Bill Clinton) my a**
that will be the end of that.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. In the country
HUGE mistake. I highly recommend nobody let her do this if there's even one pledged delegate lead. I don't even want to think about the fallout. Foolish thing for her to even contemplate.
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Raydawg1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. if she wins via superdelegates, i dont think we stand a chance in GE
it will kill the turnout we have been having
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
6. What Fineman didn't say is it is impossible for anyone to win without the SD's now
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 11:14 PM by jackson_dem
Even if Obama wins EVERY state left by 55/45 he would be at less than 1,800 delegates.
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chascarrillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:19 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. In case you haven't noticed....
Obama's been winning 65/35.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Where he wins
You think he is going to win every remaining state? Right now he has gotten 51.9% of pledged delegates with 46.9% going to Hillary. He is hardly winning in a landslide.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:29 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. No, the point is that she can't catch up in pledged delegates....
and must reply on the supers going against the leader of the pledged....That does not apply to Obama, who will be leading the pledged.

Of course Obama needs the supers--but he will not need them to overturn the elected results, but rather to ratify those results.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #11
20. That isn't accurate
Hillary is 104 pledged delegates down right now with many delegates still on the table. Puerto Rico alone could help her take 59 delegates off his lead.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 12:29 AM
Response to Reply #20
26. realistic projections, based on the way delegates are apportioned....
Obama will rack up some more before March 4. So even if Hillary wins the big 3 (OH, TX, PA) by, say, 55-45%, she won't catch up. And last I heard, Obama is looking very strong in Puerto Rico.

But don't just take my word for it--pretty much all the hardcore delegate number crunchers are saying the same.
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Araxen Donating Member (826 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:26 PM
Response to Original message
10. If Obama has a 50-100 delegate lead
and the nomination is taken away from him via Super's. I'm afraid to see the shitstorm that will happen. This is exactly what the repubs want.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #10
17. It would never happen that way.
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Alhena Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:31 PM
Response to Original message
13. That is a huge admission, glad to hear it
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
14. Fineman knows that the DNC cannot allow Hillary to steal it.
And they don't want to, since she's poison on the ticket.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
15. She won't keep fighting if she doesn't have a close margin in delegates after TX and OH.
She'll give it up.

She needs it to be very close the whole way to the convention, or with a significant lead.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:35 PM
Response to Original message
16. Ohh, I don't think that the outcry would be "little"...
And it pisses me the hell off that they would even consider that option.

Howsabout you just give it up, in that case, Hill?
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Because there's still the highly unlikely possiblity she could take a PD lead.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:41 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. That's why I said "in that case"...
I wouldn't expect her to consider dropping out unless she couldn't win both Ohio and Texas. I'm familiar with the math.

She really needed PA with our closed primary to come before those two states. It really hurts her that it occurs afterwards. She would win PA right now and then use the momentum for Ohio and Texas. The way that it's set up now though really isn't favorable for her.
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JeanGrey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:39 PM
Response to Original message
19. Look if Hillary REALLY cared about this country and less about
her own ambition she would be ready to concede and fade out.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:43 PM
Response to Original message
22. Would the "Democratic" superdelegates really override the voice of the voters?
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 11:45 PM by high density
After what happened in 2004... After 2000... Would they really do something like that to force a candidate that didn't win the votes of the people on us?

I'm hoping she would bow out before something like this would take place. Although I also thought she'd never run to begin with, so I am not good at predicting her actions. I guess we'll have to see in March.
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TeamJordan23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:52 PM
Response to Original message
24. WOW. Did he really say that? nm
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tandem5 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 12:19 AM
Response to Original message
25. At this point its looking like the only way for *either* to win...
the nomination is through super delegates.

If you're concerned about one getting fewer pledged delegates, but winning with super delegates consider that fairness might not be as clear cut as persuading super delegates to vote with "the will of the people":

Shall we go off the overall popular votes for all the states? Under that scenario one candidate might have more votes, but fewer delegates. Shall we do the opposite in which case the overall popular vote is ignored. Shall we have the super delegates for a given state go with how that state voted? In that case its possible the candidate that won the larger states would get the most super delegates.
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