Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows—for the first time ever—Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Today’s results show Obama earning support from 46% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters while Clinton attracts 41% (see recent daily numbers). Prior to Obama’s Primary and Caucus victories last Saturday, Clinton enjoyed a six percentage point lead.
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Polling for Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday has shown Obama with the lead each night. The next Presidential Tracking Poll update is scheduled for Thursday at 11:00 a.m.
Obama now leads Clinton 64% to 9% nationally among African-American voters while Clinton narrowly leads among white voters 47% to 43%. Clinton has a ten-point advantage among voters of other racial and ethnic groups (primarily Latinos).
Clinton still leads by four among women, including a twelve-point advantage among white women. However, Obama leads by eighteen-points among men, including a nine-point edge among white men.
Clinton holds a very narrow edge among Democrats, but Obama leads by thirty-five percentage points among unaffiliated voters likely to vote in a Democratic Primary. Yesterday’s Potomac Primary had little impact on expectations for the Democratic race and Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama still is given a better than 70% chance of winning the nomination.
In general election match-ups, Obama leads John McCain 46% to 40% while McCain leads Clinton 46% to 42% (see recent daily results). Today, Rasmussen Reports will begin releasing state-by-state polling of these general election match-ups. At 3:00 p.m. Eastern, data will be released from New Hampshire. At 4:00 p.m. Eastern, the latest results from Colorado will be released. At 5:00 p.m. Eastern, Missouri general election results will be released. Rasmussen Reports analysis looks at the question of which Democrat might fare better against McCain in the general election. Rasmussen Reports will begin releasing state-by-state general election polls later this week.
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll