Hillary's Lead In Ohio Down 10 Points. It's Now 51-40%. Was 55-34%. Quinnipiac Poll

[KittyWampus]

The new Quinnipiac Poll is out (no link available yet), and it finds that Hillary holds a lead over Obama in the must-win state of Ohio, 51%-40%.

However, that margin is down significantly from the last Q-poll, in mid-February, which had Hillary leading 55%-34%.

Quinnipiac also says that Obama is making inroads among key Hillary constituencies, concluding: “If she is to stop his momentum in Ohio, she must retain her margins among her core backers – women, older voters and those lower on the social-economic and education scale.”

One bright spot for Hillary: She is viewed more favorably than he by likely Dem primary voters.

My prediction- Hillary gets a narrow victory in Ohio but loses Texas. Obama MAY pull out a win as anyone registered to vote can vote in the Dem primary and he's pulling in Indies and Moderates. He also has an astounding well run grassroots campaign.

[jackson_dem]

1. The problem for Obama is nothing will give him a momentum boost over the next week

Since mid-February he rose everywhere because of momentum from a string of wins. It will be hard for him to make up 11 points in this poll and 8 in another in Ohio. The only thing that could give him a boost is an endorsement from Edwards...

You are right but it is pretty sad we have a Democratic candidate relying on non-Democrats to put him over the top in a Democratic primary.

[Independent-Voter]

2. If Her Shrillness implodes at the debate again, she'll lose Ohio.

Most rational people see through Her Shrillness's bullshit now. Ohio being a bit behind the curve isn't surprising, but even her base of less educated, older white women there are starting to leave her camp. I think Her Shrillness will win Ohio, but that'll be the last state for her before dropping out. Obama's going to wipe the floor with her in Texas, RI, and Vermont.

[jackson_dem]

3. The blogosphere is not representative of the real world

Only here and among the far right is she viewed as satanic. In the real world her favorables among Democrats are as high as St. Obama's. In the real world the popular vote stands at 50-46 and Hillary cuts 1% from the margin if you include Florida.

You are right, though. If she implodes in the debate she will lose but similarly if Obama implodes, which is equally as likely, he will lose.

[hogwyld]

4. Hillary will win RI and VT

They are practically in her back yard so to speak.

[KittyWampus]

5. except the polls MAY not be including new voters and indies. Obama has very well trained activists

getting people organized and out to vote.

That said, I give Texas to Obama and Ohio to Clinton by a hair.

Just enough for her to have a victory election night but not enough to propel her forward. The next morning she'll concede.