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Obama Rising In Latest Ohio Poll!

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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:27 AM
Original message
Obama Rising In Latest Ohio Poll!



Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary


Clinton Lead Slipping in Ohio

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

With just a week to go until the crucial March 4 Democratic Presidential Primaries, Barack Obama continues to gain ground on Hillary Clinton in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll shows Clinton earning 48% of the Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary vote. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Barack Obama’s support has grown to 43%. That’s up from 40% last week and 38% the week before.

Overall, Clinton’s lead is now just five percentage points in Ohio, down from an eight-point advantage last week and fourteen points two weeks ago.

Just 16% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe the North American Free Trade Agreement—NAFTA—is good for America. Fifty-five percent (55%) say the trade agreement negotiated by the Clinton Administration is bad for the nation.

By a 53% to 14% margin, voters believe that Obama opposes NAFTA while there are mixed perceptions on where Clinton stands. Thirty-five percent (35%) believe she favors NAFTA, 31% believe she opposes it and 34% are not sure. This issue is critical in a state that has lost thousands of manufacturing jobs. Politically, these lower-income voters have generally supportive of Clinton throughout the primary season.

more...

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/ohio_democratic_presidential_primary
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thereismore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
1. Must be those mischaracterising mailers. Or is it voters giving them a better look. nt
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:31 AM
Response to Original message
2. He can win Ohio
and I think he will. Hopefully he pulls off a clean sweep next Tuesday, leaving Clinton little option but to withdraw.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 01:59 PM
Response to Reply #2
12. He probably won't get RI.
But he could go 3 of 4, and win the two big ones.
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CoffeeCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:34 AM
Response to Original message
3. Ohio and Texas are following the last 11 states...
The patterns of the last 11 states that Obama has won---are consistent with what
is happening now in Texas and Ohio.

Hillary knows this too.

She starts out with 20+ point leads a month before these primaries. Then, within 10
days of those primaries, she's lost 10 points. These races, as the previous 11 races
have, will tighten and Obama will surpass her with a few days left to go.

Then, on election day, he'll take each state by double digits (I predict Texas by 17
and Ohio by 15).

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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. Yep, same movie, different states
He'll win both by at least 15%.

Then in the general it'll start out tied and he'll win the final vote by about 30%.
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pampango Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:39 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. A DNC-imposed ban on campaigning nationwide, not just in Michigan and Florida,
would have benefited her greatly. :) Are we sure that Ohio and Texas didn't unilaterally change the date of their primaries?

A lack of campaigning cements her early 20+ point leads, as evidenced by Michigan and Florida.
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cloudythescribbler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
4. I would project that if Obama ends up even CLOSER to winning Ohio than 5%, HRC's candidacy is doomed
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:43 AM
Response to Reply #4
9. Barring a miracle her candidacy is over now.
Obama is ahead in TX and within a few pts in OH. He'll beat her in TX and quite possibly in OH. There's a week more for her to screw up her own candidacy. It really is over.
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cloudythescribbler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. That's what looks likely -- but after March 4, I think HRC will face a REAL groundswell of ...
demands she 'suspend' or step back; superdelegates abandoning her, declining poll numbers, and basically a campaign implosion -- IF YOUR PREDICTIONS PAN OUT.

But if they don't, then we'll see -- Obama still will be the odds on favorite
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:40 AM
Response to Original message
7. Clinton under 50%
It will be interesting to see if her numbers start to drop.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:40 AM
Response to Original message
8. Good news!
:thumbsup:
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Botany Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 11:49 AM
Response to Original message
10. Ohio follows the trend
Hillary's lead
20 + points to 14 points to 8 points and now to 5 points

Clinton is gonna lose Ohio too.

Obama is running a beautiful campaign that is geared to the midwest
it worked in Wisconsin and will play well in Ohio.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 02:01 PM
Response to Original message
13. inch by inch ...
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Independent-Voter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-26-08 02:01 PM
Response to Original message
14. The more people see Her Shrillness, the less they like her.
Come on Ohio, and redeem yourself for putting Bush in office twice!
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