New ACT poll showing Kerry leading in Florida reported by ABC

[papau]

As soon as it is posted on the web I will post a link.

A Hamilton Beattie poll by ACT out today shows Kerry with a 48-46 lead over Bush in Florida (Nader with 3 and undecided at 3). Without Nader, Kerry is ahead 50-47 (1 percent for other and 2 percent for undecided). Independents are moving toward Kerry as the Iraqi prison story escalated. Sample size is 1,000 likely voters.

If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush or Kerry?

Published Bush% Kerry% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 44 50 4 896 CNN-USA Today Gallup
3/8/2004 50 45 3 1,005 CNN-USA Today Gallup


If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush, Kerry or Nader?

Published Bush% Kerry% Nader% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 41 46 7 4 896 CNN-USA Today Gallup
5/7/2004 46 43 7 3 778 Associated Press-Ipsos
3/8/2004 45 47 5 3 1,005 CNN-USA Today Gallup
3/4/2004 46 45 6 3 1,000 Associated Press-Ipsos

Things are heading in the right direction, or are on the wrong track?

Right% Wrong% Other% Error% Polled Source
5/7/2004 38 58 0 3 1,000 Associated Press-Ipsos
5/6/2004 33 50 0 3 1,012 NBC-Wall Street Journal
12/5/2003 43 51 0 3 1,001 Associated Press-Ipsos
11/13/2003 43 47 0 3 1,003 NBC-Wall Street Journal

Approve or disapprove of President Bush's performance?
Approve% Disapprove% Other% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 46 51 0 3 1,003 CNN-USA Today Gallup
5/7/2004 48 50 0 3 778 Associated Press-Ipsos
2/6/2004 47 50 0 3 743 Associated Press-Ipsos
2/3/2004 49 48 0 3 1,001 CNN-USA Today Gallup
12/17/2003 63 34 0 3 1,000 CNN-USA Today Gallup
12/5/2003 53 44 0 3 1,001 Associated Press-Ipsos

Approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling the economy?
Approve% Disapprove% Other% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 41 56 0 5 504 CNN-USA Today Gallup
5/7/2004 43 55 0 3 778 Associated Press-Ipsos
2/6/2004 44 53 0 3 743 Associated Press-Ipsos
2/3/2004 43 54 0 3 1,001 CNN-USA Today Gallup
11/7/2003 48 48 0 2 2,002 Ipsos Public Affairs
11/6/2003 47 50 0 3 1,007 CNN-USA Today Gallup

Approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling the U.S. campaign against terrorism?

Approve% Disapprove% Other% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 54 43 0 5 504 CNN-USA Today Gallup
5/6/2004 54 37 0 2 2,016 Quinnipiac Poll
5/6/2004 52 45 0 3 1,000 Gallup
4/29/2004 60 32 0 3 1,042 CBS News/New York Times
1/17/2004 68 28 0 3 1,022 CBS News/New York Times

Approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling Iraq?

Approve% Disapprove% Other% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 41 58 0 5 504 CNN-USA Today Gallup
3/29/2004 51 47 0 3 1,001 CNN-USA Today Gallup
2/3/2004 46 53 0 3 1,001 CNN-USA Today Gallup

[NMDemDist2]

1. gets uglier and uglier for Bushit don't it? eom

[Sparkly]

2. That is GREAT news!!!

Am I seeing a 50-44 Kerry lead in the first poll listed, for Florida, with +/- 4 margin of error?!

[papau]

6. Kerry leads 48 to 46 ,with Nader 3 and undecided 3

a 48-46 lead over Bush in Florida (Nader with 3 and undecided at 3). Without Nader, Kerry is ahead 50-47

[Sparkly]

7. I'm looking at this one

Published Bush% Kerry% Error% Polled Source
5/11/2004 44 50 4 896 CNN-USA Today Gallup

[papau]

10. 44 to 50 is a nationwide result - as are all the other numbers n/t

n/t

[lovedems]

3. Thank God they are scrubbing the felons, those who share a birthday

name or live on the same street as a felon from voting. Leave it good ol' Jeb. He will deliver Florida again, even if it has to be done illegally. What a beautiful democracy we live in.

[goclark]

4. Lov It But..

And I am seeing Media whores like Candy and Judy and Wolfie calming their statements a wee bit. That is what I love to see.

We still need to keep the pressure on the whores because they will turn in a heart beat.

Let's keep on emailing them when they are fair as well as when they are wrong.


Wow! The Bushies are dumping themselves.
Love it!

[WI_DEM]

5. this would almost call out for Senator Graham to be on the ticket

the Florida polls have either been neck and neck or Bush leading by a point or two or Kerry now leading by a point or two. I think if Florida is competitive it would be a big boost for Graham.

[Sparkly]

8. By the way, is anybody buying Nader's line

that he's pulling at least as much from would-be Bush voters as he is from would-be Kerry voters?

[GOPBasher]

9. Can we overcome Diebold and Nader?

If we have a fair election in FL and Nader is not on the ballot, I think we have a very good chance of winning it. If Diebold cheats for Bush; if Jeb disenfranchises 100,000 poor and minority voters again; or if Nader is on the ballot, I think we don't have much of a chance.

[sangh0]

11. For someone named GOPBasher

I've noticed you never miss an opportunity to predict failure for Dems.

[ACK]

12. w00t!

'nuff said for now.

_

[powergirl]

13. YOU MADE MY DAY!!!!

I was having lunch with a friend and I was expressing lament that I was very afraid of Bush winning again. He needs to go. This is what I need to have a great day. Thank you papau!!!O8)

[papau]

14. Glad to help make your day -Below are the links/story on Florida good news

http://www.sptimes.com/2004/05/13/Worldandnation/Kerry_tries_to_be_man.shtml


Kerry tries to be man of people
By ADAM C. SMITH, Times Political Editor
May 13, 2004 ORLANDO - It usually starts the same way: a beaming John Kerry lopes into view, pumping a fist into the air. He peels off his blazer and tosses it to the side. Time for another "town hall meeting" with the Democratic presidential candidate, doing his best to tone down his patrician bearing and mix it up with voters.

An internal poll completed Sunday for America Coming Together, a Democratic group independently mobilizing Florida Democrats, found 48 percent of likely Florida voters backed Kerry, 46 percent supported Bush and 3 percent backed Ralph Nader. The poll was conducted by the firm Hamilton Beattie & Staff, which surveyed 1,000 voters.

Ralph Reed, the Bush-Cheney campaign's regional chairman, said in a conference call with reporters Wednesday that Kerry is wasting his time. Outgoing Florida Sen. Bob Graham is among several candidates Kerry is looking at for a running mate, but Reed said even with Graham on the ticket Kerry would lose Florida and every other Southern state.

http://www.sptimes.com/2004/03/07/State/Another_presidential_.shtml

If the (Florida Presidential) election were held today 3/7/04, 49 percent would vote for Massachusetts Sen. Kerry, 43 percent for Bush, and 3 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader. Only 5 percent were undecided in a state that remains starkly polarized politically.

The poll was conducted by the Washington polling firms of Schroth & Associates, whose political clients are Democrats, and the Polling Company, whose political clients are Republicans. The statewide phone survey of 800 registered Florida voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

In a head-to-head matchup, Kerry/Graham led Bush/Cheney 49 percent to 44 percent, an identical margin as with former presidential candidate Sen. John Edwards as Kerry's running mate. Nelson fared slightly worse than Graham as a vice presidential candidate, with Kerry/Nelson barely edging Bush/Cheney 46 percent to 44 percent.


April 14, 2004--In the state of Florida, the race for President is a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry attracting 47% of the vote in the Sunshine State and President George W. Bush earning 46%.
The survey was completed just before President Bush's nationally televised Press Conference on Iraq.

A month ago, Kerry led Bush by 3 percentage points, 48% to 45%

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/

Ohio
Likely Voters May 12

Bush 42%
Kerry 49%
Nader 2%
Undecided 7%
600 likely voters, May 10-12,
MOE ± 4 percentage points

John Kerry leads George W. Bush 49% to 42% among likely voters in Ohio. Without Nader on the ballot, it's Kerry 50% and Bush 43%.


Oregon
Likely Voters May 5

Bush 45%
Kerry 45%
Nader 5%
Undecided 5%
600 likely voters, May 3-5,
MOE ± 4 percentage points

George W. Bush and John Kerry are tied among likely voters in Oregon. Without Nader on the ballot, it's Kerry 48% and Bush 46%.