Kerry Edges Bush By Only 3 Points In New Jersey

[TheStateChief]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x11300.xml

Democratic challenger John Kerry has a narrow 46 -- 43 percent lead over President George W. Bush in New Jersey, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Independent candidate Ralph Nader gets 5 percent.

In a head to head matchup, without Nader, Sen. Kerry leads President Bush 47 -- 44 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University finds. In the Bush-Kerry matchup, independent voters split 46 --45 percent. In the three-way race, independent voters split 41 -- 41 percent, with 13 percent for Nader.

New Jersey voters give Bush a negative 44 -- 52 percent approval rating, matching his lowest ever approval rating in the state.

"Despite all the bad news out of Iraq, President Bush is threatening to make a horse race out of New Jersey, a state everyone had put in the 'safe' column for John Kerry. Actually it's not a case of the President doing so well in New Jersey -- his approval rating remains in negative territory -- but John Kerry is just not catching on. His favorability rating is a mediocre 27 - 28 percent, with 33 percent mixed and 13 percent of the voters say they haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

[jpgray]

1. The undecideds will go Kerry. The 43% is the number to watch

And so far it's looking quite good.

[osaMABUSh]

2. wait a couple of months - Kerry will catch on

Historically, Kerry is in great shape. After the VP and convention, people will know him and his numbers will improve dramatically.

[TheFarseer]

3. Dang, what's with

Kerry only ahead by a few points in places like NJ, MI, and others? I suppose it's a dead heat in DC too?

[Lefty Pragmatist]

4. I suppose it's a dead heat in DC too?

Yeah, but he's tied with Lenora Fulani.

[NJCher]

8. see my post 7

Cher

[David Dunham]

5. Kerry will win NJ.

[fujiyama]

6. Well didn't they say

that NJ would be a "swing state" last time?

I don't buy these polls. They seem like crap.

How does a state go from a margin of 15 points (Gore's winnin margin) and then 3? Does this make any sense? Are they polling the wrong people? Has Bush actually GAINED any voters? That too, how can Bush be down by twenty something points in NY but be 3 down in NJ?

:wtf:

[Anarcho-Socialist]

10. This poll is rubbish

I agree I think this poll is crap. Nader getting 5%? I don't think so. In other polls, Kerry is 11 points ahead, so Bush closing the gap to 3 is beyond belief.

[NJCher]

7. let me assure you, people are very ignorant here

In late February and March before bush attacked Iraq, I handed out flyers in a MoveOn activist project. I handed them out at a shopping center not far from my home, which is supposedly a heavily Democratic area.

The response? Unbelievable. People acted like they could have cared less. Our flyers asked for the inspectors to finish their work. People barely acted like they even knew there were inspectors there.

I had one man brush me off saying, "I know perfectly well what's going on in Iraq." Oh yeah, buddy? I'd like to see this guy again and ask him if he knew so much about Iraq, why wasn't he handing out flyers?

I can't even begin to tell you the numbers of people who dismissed us, saying, "I don't care about politics."

Effing jerks. I can't wait until they get their huge tax bills (whether they arrive as taxes or via inflation) as a result of this disaster.

So even though we don't really have a lot of rightwingnutz here (there are some, though), we have the disengaged and the indifferent.


Cher

[madmax]

9. I believe people are either brainwashed or in denial.

They just can't seem to bring themselves to believe that the USA isn't cracked up to what they were taught.

Or they know in their hearts that we're wrong but, just don't want to admit that our government officials be as cold and calculating as they are.

I try to talk to people about this administration and I'm either me with hostility or they'll say some wisecrack like, you watch too many movies, read too many leftist websites, etc. :mad:

[dusty64]

12. Taxes are rising all around

my area and the ignorant respones I've heard are unreal. People are fighting mad at their local governments and even though around here they are majority rethug I feel I must explain to them. Shit rolls downhill, this is an effect of the taxcuts to the superwealthy and the HUGE corporate welfare policies in Washington and Albany. The buck stops at the county and town levels, they just DON'T get it!

[DrFunkenstein]

11. Another "Omigod He's Not Winning Big Enough" Thread

Yippee. It's so much fun being a liberal.

[GalleryGod]

13. The Garden State's in the Bag, Friends.

55-45 when the counting is done on Election Night.
The QU Poll blows and always has.

[3rdParty]

14. please do not comment on any more NJ polls

Here in NJ it is very common to be off over 12 points up to the day before an election. kerry will win by double digits.

[i_c_a_White_Ghost]

15. bush has a better chance of freezing in hell

than winning New Jersey, won't happen.