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Can we put a list together of all the states where Obama won "WHITE" Working class voters?

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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:02 PM
Original message
Can we put a list together of all the states where Obama won "WHITE" Working class voters?
Edited on Thu May-08-08 07:33 PM by Quixote1818
because I am going to throw up if I hear Hillary say Obama can't win white voters one more time. I did find these two articles:



From DailyKOS:

Hillary Wins the rustbelt (Ohio, Penn, maybe Mich?), and Obama wins the heartland (Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Indiana?). He also won the white working class in Virginia/Maryland as well. note: Obama's actually polling even, or ahead of Clinton in Michigan currently. But what this all suggest is, it doesn't mean, he "can't win" those "rustbelt states" in the General (

Link: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/4/23/11012/4636/77/5...


From WSJ:

Sen. Clinton won them in Georgia, Missouri and New York, while Sen. Obama captured the white working-class male vote in New Hampshire, California, Maryland and Virginia.

So, here is the list I have so far:

Virginia
Maryland
Wisconsin
New Hampshire
California
Maryland
Minnesota

I suspect he also won the White Working Class Males in:

Illinois
Idaho
Washington
Utah
Colorado
Nebraska
Wyoming
Kansas
North Dakota
Hawaii
Alaska
Vermont
Nebraska
Connecticut

And I suspect he will win them in:

Montana
Oregon
South Dakota
Maine

He might have won them in:

Nevada

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Nitrogenica Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. Minnesota. Barack supporters are everywhere here.
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The Velveteen Ocelot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:31 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Minnesota is a caucus state, so it doesn't matter.
:sarcasm:
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #8
12. Minnesota's caucus had 7% turnout.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 12:43 AM by NJSecularist
Minnesota's caucus is not indicative of anything in the general election.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:42 AM
Response to Reply #12
33. What a riot...only in your mind. "Minnesotans flock to caucuses in huge numbers"
"Minnesotans flock to caucuses in huge numbers"

http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/15337916.html

But, since your candidate didn't win Minnesota, I understand why you might try to cover that up:

"Packed state caucuses go for Obama, Romney"

http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/15331171.html
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:44 AM
Response to Reply #33
35. 7% turnout is a huge number?
Ohio had a 40% turnout. Pennsylvania had a 32% turnout. Indiana had a 36% turnout. North Carolina had a 32% turnout.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:45 AM
Response to Reply #35
36. Did you not read the articles??? See, I provide links. RECORD TURNOUT
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:47 AM
Response to Reply #36
38. Who cares what the article says? The caucus had 7% turnout. That is a terrible turnout.
And just shows you how flawed the caucus system is. Look at the most recent primaries. 40% in Ohio. 32% in Pennsylvania. 36% in Indiana.

And yet 7% turnout is record turnout? :crazy: :crazy:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:48 AM
Response to Reply #38
41. Your 7% number is fiction. I provided actual links. You tell tall tales.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 01:48 AM by Justitia
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:49 AM
Response to Reply #41
42. LOL
Here's my proof: http://elections.gmu.edu/Voter_Turnout_2008_Primaries.htm

How about yours?

Do you have any proof to dispute my 7% turnout claim?
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:50 AM
Response to Reply #42
45. LOL - one lonely professors ESTIMATES that he acknowledges DO NOT come from Secretaries of State
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:58 AM
Response to Reply #45
50. Could you be any more dishonest?
Here are the numbers from the Secretary of State: http://www.sos.state.mn.us/docs/election_result_stats.pdf

Look at the registered voter numbers in the state as of 2006 from that PDF file: 3,727,000
What does GMU say are the amount of registered voters in Minnesota? 3,712,351

Total registered voters in the state of Minnesota: 3,712,351
Total turnout in the Minnesota caucus: 269,059

You can do math, right? Divide those numbers up.

You get 7.2%. Just like I said.

Can you prove otherwise? I'll be waiting for proof that the Minnesota caucus turnout wasn't 7.2%.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:06 AM
Response to Reply #50
57. Could YOU be more dishonest - this is '08, NOT '06, this is a RECORD YEAR
And your lonely professor's report states right off the bat that his are simply ESTIMATES based on POPULATION, not even registered voters.

Nice try, but you are going to have to simply suck it up that Hillary Clinton cannot win a caucus because she has absolutely no organizing ability and cannot motivate voters to turn out for her.

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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:09 AM
Response to Reply #57
61. So you are saying the turnout could have been even lower than 7%?
If you add registered voters to the previous 3,712,351 total registered voters figure from 2006, and then you divided it with the actual caucus-goers that showed up that day, 269,059, you would get an even lower turnout.

I don't think you know what you are talkig about, quite frankly.

I just gave you the accurate numbers from the Secretary of State website. Add a few hundred thousand voters as you say since it is a record year. It diminishes the turnout number even more. :rofl: :rofl:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:11 AM
Response to Reply #61
63. I see you subscribe to "Hillary Math". IOW, DELUSIONAL
She LOST - Get Over It
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #63
66. If Hillary Math is actual verifiable data, then, yes, I subscribe to Hillary Math.
You've yet to provide any solid figures to prove your hypothesis. I've provided numbers from the Secretary of State's Office. You've provided your own wishful thinking.

Who should I believe? The SOS or your own wishful thinking? :rofl:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:14 AM
Response to Reply #66
70. No wonder you picked the wrong horse.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:17 AM
Response to Reply #70
75. When are you going to show your proof of the turnout figures? n/t
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:20 AM
Response to Reply #75
78. Your assertion, your burden of proof
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:23 AM
Response to Reply #78
82. I showed my proof. Now it's your turn. n/t
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:27 AM
Response to Reply #82
85. Found my own professor, a REAL one FROM MINNESOTA: 2004 turnout = 77%!
See, I used actual presidential election years, not midterms like you.

http://politicsandgovernance.org/reports/2006/Minnesota_Voters_Turnout.pdf
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:30 AM
Response to Reply #85
88. What the hell are you talking about?
You do know the difference between a general election and a caucus, right?

Are you really trying to equate the turnout of the president election in 2004 with a 7% turnout caucus on Super Tuesday in 2008 in Minnesota?

You are wrapping yourself into a circle of illogical premises. :crazy: :crazy: :crazy: :crazy:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:32 AM
Response to Reply #88
91. YOU said the MN caucus was not "representative of anything in the general election"
Edited on Fri May-09-08 02:32 AM by Justitia
And I proved to you that record turnouts in caucuses are DEFINITELY indicative of high turnouts in the general election
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:33 AM
Response to Reply #91
92. 7% turnout in a caucus is a record turnout?
And you have not proved to me the correlation between record turnouts in caucus and record turnouts in general election. I'll be waiting for that explanation too.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:34 AM
Response to Reply #92
94. Press report: RECORD TURNOUT (caucus night)
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:36 AM
Response to Reply #94
98. A journalist can say whatever they like. I have the actual hard numbers to back up my claim.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 02:37 AM by NJSecularist
The 7% turnout number in the Minnesota caucuses (which you've yet to dispute) is nothing compared to the turnout in states such as Ohio (40%), Pennsylvania (32%), Indiana (36%) and North Carolina (32%). Which, again, you've yet to dispute.

When are you going to back up your opinions with facts instead of anecdotal evidence?
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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:38 AM
Response to Reply #61
99. why the focus on the number of
total registered voters in Minnesota?

Seems like the correct metric is the total number of registered Democrats.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:05 AM
Response to Reply #45
55. Are you going to come back to back up your lies? n/t
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:07 AM
Response to Reply #55
58. I've unmasked your DISTORTIONS. Face it buddy, she lost.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:10 AM
Response to Reply #58
62. Distortions?
:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

The only one who is distorting anything is you. I've given you the accurate registration numbers from the Secretary of State. Yet I'm spinning and distorting? :crazy: :crazy:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:12 AM
Response to Reply #62
65. I'm guessing you have a reading comprehension problem. You probably think she's winning.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #65
69. You've yet to dispute any of my points.
I'm still waiting.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:15 AM
Response to Reply #69
71. Oh I most certainly did. But keep waiting, maybe she'll win this thing after all - ROFLMAO!
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:18 AM
Response to Reply #71
76. You didn't dispute anything.
I'm still waiting. Any day now..
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:21 AM
Response to Reply #76
79. Do you dispute SHE LOST???
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:23 AM
Response to Reply #79
81. Why do you keep changing the subject?
I'm still waiting for you to dispute my claim. You've yet to do it.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:30 AM
Response to Reply #81
89. MN turnout 2004: 77% "Minnesota led the country (in turnout)"
http://politicsandgovernance.org/reports/2006/Minnesota_Voters_Turnout.pdf

I can only imagine what the 2008 election numbers must be
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:32 AM
Response to Reply #89
90. I asked you twice. Do you know the difference between a general election and a caucus?
Did you graduate high school yet?
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:33 AM
Response to Reply #90
93. Your original assertion was about caucuses in relation to the GE. And you were wrong.
Try to keep up.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:35 AM
Response to Reply #93
95. What?
:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

You are wrapping yourself in a circle here.

I'm still waiting for you to prove the correlation between "high caucus turnout" (7% in your mind is high turnout) and high general election turnout.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:36 AM
Response to Reply #95
97. Why bother - SHE LOST, GET OVER IT - any way you slice it
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:42 AM
Response to Reply #97
105. I'm still waiting for you to prove any of your points. ANY of them.
You've yet to prove anything.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:44 AM
Response to Reply #105
108. My point is....SHE LOST. Do you dispute that?
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #108
111. My point is.. that wasn't the question. Quit deflecting. n/t
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:46 AM
Response to Reply #111
112. SHE LOST
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:37 AM
Response to Reply #112
125. Reminiscent of having toddlers in the house, isn't it?
Why. Mommy?
Because
But why Mommy?
Because
rinse & repeat

:rofl:
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Happyhippychick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:06 PM
Response to Original message
2. I seem to recall that he won Iowa....
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grannylib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:11 PM
Response to Original message
3. And the GE is NOT THE SAME as the primaries/caucuses
When he's running against McSame Old, Same Older, and not against Senator Clinton, I think he'll do just fine among even older, white, working class, less than $50K/yr women like me :-)
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:18 PM
Response to Original message
4. Illinois
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:21 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Of course! Don't know why I forgot Illinois. nt
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #4
13. He only won White Democrats by 7 points in his home state.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 12:45 AM by NJSecularist
Not exactly a glowing endorsement for an incumbent senator by White Democrats.
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #13
17. So, in other words Obama won white Dems in IL by like 54-46? Sounds like...
Edited on Fri May-09-08 12:52 AM by ClassWarrior
...a blowout :nuke: to me.

NGU.


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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:59 AM
Response to Reply #17
18. 8 points is a blowout?
It really shows how terrible Obama's appeal is to White Democrats when he can only win the white Democratic vote in his home state by 8 points.

Hillary won the white Democratic vote in her home state by 30 points.
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:08 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. I see you're avoiding my question below. But you leapt on the one...
...that allows you to race-bait some more.

NGU.


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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:11 AM
Response to Reply #19
22. Analyzing the facts is race baiting? n/t
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #22
26. Weasel words make it invisible?
NGU.


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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:46 AM
Response to Reply #13
37. Do you just pull these numbers out of your ass?
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:27 AM
Response to Reply #37
84. Go look at the Illinois exit polls:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21225978

Are you incapable of doing research?
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #84
117. Exit polls are bullshit, besides SHE LOST ILLINOIS.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:48 AM
Response to Reply #117
134. That's the first time I've ever heard that exit polls should be completely discounted
Must be the new Obama logic... ignore any countering evidence that doesn't show that Obama is the messiah. :rofl: :rofl:
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bunnies Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:23 PM
Response to Original message
6. NH was due to the weeping.
Dont let anybody tell you different. Obama would have won here if not for that.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. Obama would lose New Hampshire today too.
His allure to independents is all but gone.
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Window Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. Someone posted a detailed list earlier. I'll see if I can locate it.
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Window Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:49 PM
Response to Original message
9. The list can be found here in a post by zulchzulu.
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-08-08 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Thanks for the link. Yes, it does deserve a post of its own. nt
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Window Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:13 AM
Response to Reply #10
131. You're welcome.




Peace:thumbsup:
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zabet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:21 AM
Response to Original message
11. Ahem!
"He won 52% of whites in VA. That meant, given how he does worst with white working folks, that he lost white working voters in VA. His slim majority came from affluent whites. He won 42% of whites in MD. How did he win the white working class when he got only 42% even when affluent whites are counted? :crazy: Wisconsin is Virginia redux. He won 54% of whites overall. That means he lost the white working class. He lost whites in NH (36-39). That means he lost the white working class, for reasons stated earlier about his strength among whites being with affluent "latte liberal" whites. Ditto California, where he lost whites by 1. He won 55% of whites in Utah. It is unlikely, again, that he won white working class folks there. In CT he narrowly lost whites overall by 1. Bzztt, CT doesn't make the list either as a white working class win for him. Nevada? He lost whites overall by 18 there.

Minnesota, Idaho, Washington, Colorado, Nebraska, Wyoming, Kansas, North Dakota, and Alaska all held sham caucuses. There are no caucuses in the general election. The fact they need to cherry pick caucuses for "proof" that he can do well with whites is in and of itself very damning. Take another look at those states as well by percentage of black population. MN is 4% black, ID is 0.8% black, WA is 4% black, CO is 5% black, NE is 5% African American, Wyoming's black population is 1%, KS is 7% black, ND is 1% black, and AK is 5% black. Even if we accept that sham caucuses with 1.9-5% turnout represent the will of the people there (they don't as Washington's primary and Texas' primary both proved) it doesn't answer the real question. So he can win the white vote in states where there is no racial tension because they are monoracial. What does that prove about his chances to win places like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas, etc.? States where race is not an issue prove that race will not hurt him in states where it is one? :crazy: The fact this list is full of such states is sad and scary. They can't point to a state which has a diverse population where he won the white vote because Virginia and his home state of Illinois are the only ones that fit that bill.

Here is the real list probably won them: Illinois, Hawaii, Vermont (the whitest state in the country). So other than his home states he won the white working class in a primary only in Vermont...

Here is a list of states who held primaries where he lost the white working class vote: NH, SC, FL, AL, AZ, CA, CT, DE, GA, MA, MO, NJ, NM, OK, TN, UT, LA, MD, VA, WI, TX, OH, RI, MS, PA, NC, and IN. Get it? He loses the white working class everywhere when they have a chance to show up and vote. The places where he wins the white vote are, aside from a handful of exceptions (VA, WI, IL, HI, and VT) are caucuses that are compromised of a small number of affluent whites. A big reason he wins them in the first place is because these working class voters are not "present" in caucuses."
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:46 AM
Response to Reply #11
15. Good post. Most of Obama's wins with the white vote were in sham caucuses.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 12:47 AM by NJSecularist
Wonder why the Obamacult isn't acknowledging your post? Hmmm...
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 12:50 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. How long have you known that caucuses exist?
NGU.


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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:10 AM
Response to Reply #16
21. For a while. Do you know that the average turnout in a sham caucus is around 5%? n/t
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Dr Fate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:13 AM
Response to Reply #21
23. Hillary should have complained about that before the contest, not after she lost it.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 01:15 AM by Dr Fate
If she has a problem with the rules, now is hardly the time to bring that up.
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:13 AM
Response to Reply #21
24. What's "a while?" Before this election cycle?
NGU.


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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:24 AM
Response to Reply #24
28. Avoiding the question again?
NGU.


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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:27 AM
Response to Reply #28
29. I knew about caucuses ever since I first got into politics. Back in 1992.
What's your point again?
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 11:11 AM
Response to Reply #29
138. So please describe your efforts to get them eliminated during the past 15 years.
NGU.


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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #138
141. You there, NJ?
NGU.


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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #21
27. Sham caucus? Is that defined as a caucus that Hillary lost? /nt
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:27 AM
Response to Reply #27
30. No, it's defined by a caucus that only has a 7% or lower turnout rate. n/t
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:42 AM
Response to Reply #30
34. LOL, like Nevada?
Where Clinton won, but Obama walked away with the extra delegate. Ha! Yeah...that must have BURNED.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:52 AM
Response to Reply #30
46. There you go again with those fictional "estimates"
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:01 AM
Response to Reply #46
53. I proved you wrong 3 times in this thread already.
Where is your proof that I have made any fictional statements?
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:08 AM
Response to Reply #53
59. No, you keep referencing the hypothesis of one lonely professor using ESTIMATES
of POPULATION, not actual records from Secretaries of State and their election rolls
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:22 AM
Response to Reply #59
80. I just gave up the numbers from the Secretary of State!
http://www.sos.state.mn.us/docs/election_result_stats.pdf

Total Registered voters in 2006: 3,727,000.

Add a couple hundred thousand voters to that count, because, in your own words, turnout was increased from 2006 to 2008.

For the sake of argument, we'll say that the amount of registered voters in 2008 was 3,927,000.

Take the number of caucus goers - 269,059 - and divide that by the 2008 registration number ( 3,927,000), and you get an even lower turnout number than the GMU professor showed: 6.8%. A decrease from the 7.2% turnout that the GMU predicted.

You aren't exactly helping out your argument all that much. :rofl: :rofl:

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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:35 AM
Response to Reply #80
96. Sorry, you don't have any numbers from 2008, only estimates. And...she lost.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:38 AM
Response to Reply #96
101. You keep dodging my question.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 02:38 AM by NJSecularist
Would or would not the voter registration numbers in 2008 be greater than the voter registration numbers in 2006 (3,712,000)??

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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:39 AM
Response to Reply #101
102. Absolutely - but hey, they aren't all DEMOCRATS - duh. Primaries, remember?
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:41 AM
Response to Reply #102
104. Turnout is a standardized metric among all parties.
Nice dodge, though.

You've made my point, yet you keep denying it.

You're confused. You may want to go to bed.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:44 AM
Response to Reply #104
107. Just like the Hillary campaign, always moving those "metrics" around. She LOST.
And that isn't changing. But yes, it's late and this is pointless, it's not going to change anything - your candidate LOST whatever "metric" you employ.

Good night.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #107
109. When you wake up in the morning, start by proving - with facts - any of the points you made in...
this thread.

I'll still waiting for one semblance of proof.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:46 AM
Response to Reply #109
113. I don't need to prove anything to you, the proof is in the pudding - SHE LOST
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:47 AM
Response to Reply #113
114. Whether she lost or not is irrelevant to any of the points made in this thread.
Quit deflecting and provide some proof for your points.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:50 AM
Response to Reply #114
115. Everything you wrote is irrelevant - SHE LOST. The End.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #115
118. Good night. Make sure you provide proof for your points in the morning. n/t
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:53 AM
Response to Reply #118
120. Tell ya what, we'll come back to this when she's the nominee - deal?
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 11:40 AM
Response to Reply #30
140. Wow, an arbitrary cut-off point?
NGU.


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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:47 AM
Response to Reply #21
39. And you keep completely making these numbers up.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:50 AM
Response to Reply #39
44. Making what numbers up?
Here are the turnout numbers: http://elections.gmu.edu/Voter_Turnout_2008_Primaries.htm

Next time you may want to check the facts before you accuse others of making stuff up.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:54 AM
Response to Reply #44
47. Noooo, that is one professor's "ESTIMATE" that he acknowledges DOES NOT come from official state
records via Secretaries of State

Nice try diminishing caucuses because YOUR GIRL simply can't win them (unlike her husband).
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:59 AM
Response to Reply #47
51. Here are the official numbers from the SOS as of 2006:
http://www.sos.state.mn.us/docs/election_result_stats.pdf

It turns out that the professor's estimate of registered voters is consistent with that of the Secretary of State.

How about doing some research before you call people liars?
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:09 AM
Response to Reply #51
60. Keep spinning. HELLO, IT'S NOT THE YEAR 2006 ANYMORE.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:11 AM
Response to Reply #60
64. Yes, the total number of registered voters increased.
Which would make the total % of turnout even lower than the 7% figure I mentioned if we had accurate 2008 voter registration numbers. :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #64
67. So you admit you DON'T have any numbers from 2008 - duh.
Now, will you admit SHE LOST?
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:17 AM
Response to Reply #67
73. Did you take a high school math class?
If there is a larger amount of registered voters in 2008 than 2006, and we have a static number to draw from (aka: the number of caucus-goers on Super Tuesday in Minnesota), we can reasonably conclude that the turnout number will be lower when we take the static number (the number of caucus goers on Super Tuesday in Minnesota) and divide them by the estimated increased turnout in 2008.

Do I need to go down to a middle school level for you to understand?

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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:20 AM
Response to Reply #73
77. Why don't you use REAL NUMBERS? Oh yeah - that wouldn't work out for you would it???
It's all those assumptions and "reasonable conclusions" and "if"s and "estimated turnouts"

Like I said - Hillary Magic Math, pulled right out of yer ass

And guess what - SHE STILL LOST
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:28 AM
Response to Reply #77
86. I gave you the Secretary of State numbers.
I made nothing up. I have used verifiable data to prove my point throughout this thread, while you've done nothing of the sort.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:38 AM
Response to Reply #86
100. Not for this election you didn't. I'm sorry you can't get used to the idea SHE LOST.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:39 AM
Response to Reply #100
103. Wow.
Would the 2008 voter registration numbers be higher than the 2006 voter registration numbers, as you claimed in one of your previous posts above (due to record turnout)?

You are spinning yourself in circles here. :crazy:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #103
110. SHE LOST
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #110
116. Keep deflecting like you've done all thread.
:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:52 AM
Response to Reply #116
119. Nope, you just REUSE to accept REALITY, like any of this is changing anything - SHE'S DONE.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:49 AM
Response to Reply #21
43. More FICTION
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:05 AM
Response to Reply #43
56. Do I need to prove you wrong a 4th time?
:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:16 AM
Response to Reply #56
72. You didn't prove anything the first time, except you live on Planet Denial
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:29 AM
Response to Reply #72
122. No
you've been proven wrong again and again and again, and you deflect each time you're challenged on it.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:32 AM
Response to Reply #122
123. No, she really did lose.
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 04:25 AM
Response to Reply #123
129. Not yet
but that's not the topic under discussion, is it?

OBAMA DID COCAINE!

What if I just yell that to every reply? It's off-topic, and has the added benefit of being truer than your assertion.
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 04:48 AM
Response to Reply #129
130. Uh, she lost Minnesota a while ago....on Super Tuesday
Edited on Fri May-09-08 05:00 AM by Justitia
HILLARY KILLED HER LOVER VINCE FOSTER!

(2 can play that game)
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:50 AM
Response to Reply #130
135. What does that have to do anything?
For the record, you've yet to dispute any of my claims. Still.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:51 AM
Response to Reply #130
136. double post
Edited on Fri May-09-08 06:52 AM by NJSecularist
double post
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:39 AM
Response to Reply #16
127. Amazing, isn't it?? Bill did JUST FINE with all those dastardly caucuses ..TWICE
and he never mentioned them to Hillary??:rofl:

we KNEW they could not do math, but I thought they could read..I was wrong:rofl:
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:03 AM
Response to Reply #15
121. haha, you really are a bitter tool, aren't you?
Edited on Fri May-09-08 03:04 AM by Drunken Irishman
It was a cute ruse your Obama support, but it's quite obvious you never really liked him at all. Your hatred and subsequent bitterness over the fact he's about to wrap up the nomination has made you a small, pathetic soul and I actually pity your posts when I'm not laughing at how utterly foolish they are.

You remind me of a friend I have who I'll attend Utah Jazz games with. If the Jazz are down 15 with 2 minutes left, he will rationalize any type of comeback. In fact, he won't enter reality until the final buzzer and even then he continues believing had this or that taken place, the Jazz would've won.

But I can understand why you're so angry. I mean, you falsely supported Obama and dropped him and the candidate you attached yourself to turned out to be a major loser. The ironic thing is that prior to your total change of heart (whether real or not), you brought up some solid arguments to point to why Clinton would not win the nomination. And yet now you embrace Clinton and ignore her true flaws. Flaws that cost her the nomination.

Here is a word of advice: No matter how many times you try to say Obama can't win, it won't change a damn thing. Clinton lost her chance when she could not close the deal in Indiana, even with all the crap Obama went through. She blew it and it's over. Accept it, move on and realize Obama will be the nominee.
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Dr Fate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:09 AM
Response to Original message
20. In this economy a lot of college educated folks get working class pay-checks.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 01:11 AM by Dr Fate
I think he gets working class votes- Hillary/media has a certain stereotype in mind when they imagine who the "working class" is- and it doesnt include minorities, young workers, the growing college educated working class or working class people who are socially liberal, etc...

What they really mean to say instead of "working class" is "conservative swing-voters."

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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:14 AM
Response to Original message
25. UTAH /nt
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:28 AM
Response to Reply #25
31. All 10 voters in Utah?
Wow, what an accomplishment. :crazy:
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:40 AM
Response to Reply #31
32. Obama took 57% of the Democratic vote in Utah
75,000 votes.

Minimize away, but remember that Hillary took only 39%, or 51000 votes.

In other words, he smoked her like a big fatty at a Grateful Dead show.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:48 AM
Response to Reply #32
40. Losing by 24,000 votes is getting smoked?
Edited on Fri May-09-08 01:48 AM by NJSecularist
Maybe in the Obamacult World, but not the real world.

I can't believe that the cultists are resorting to Utah as evidence of Obama's success with whites. :rofl:
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:55 AM
Response to Reply #40
48. Yeah, losing by 18% points is getting SMOKED
Like a ham on easter, like a noob in WOW, like a cigarette at an AA meeting, like a Northern Californian salmon, baby!

S.M.O.K.E.D

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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:00 AM
Response to Reply #48
52. If a 24,000 vote win in Utah is the best argument for Obama's electability among whites in the GE...
we are in very big trouble in the general election.
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #52
68. Strawman. Who said anything about "best" argument?
Edited on Fri May-09-08 02:16 AM by demwing

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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 01:56 AM
Response to Reply #31
49. Sour Grapes / Sore Loser
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:01 AM
Response to Reply #49
54. Now you're name calling after I proved you wrong 3 times?
:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:17 AM
Response to Reply #54
74. The only thing you proved is that you'll desperately cling to anything, like Hillary
Wake up, it's OVER
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:37 AM
Response to Reply #54
126. You are in for a rough time here over the next couple weeks.
You're a prime candidate for a colorful crash and burn.
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casus belli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:24 AM
Response to Reply #31
83. That's probably what Hillary thought too
Some people have apparently learned nothing from her mistakes.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:29 AM
Response to Original message
87. Handy guide on this!
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 02:42 AM
Response to Reply #87
106. thanks FrenchieCat! /nt
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:35 AM
Response to Original message
124. Most of the ones she "won" are probably going to vote for McCain anyway
at least since texas..
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 03:44 AM
Response to Original message
128. Why do you only show data
for working-class white MALES?

Is it because showing the REAL data would prove that Clinton was right?

Do you guys ever even stop and think "gee, this is dishonest - I wonder if I should post it?" before you click submit? I think not.
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Jawja Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:18 AM
Response to Original message
132. Clinton's claim is race baiting,
pure and simple. What she is saying loud and clear is that Obama won't get the white vote because she believes she did and somehow that translates into Obama won't get the white vote against McCain. More basically: "He's BLACK; I'm WHITE: I can WIN."

It is dispicable, desperate and divisive politics, to say the least. She is making a complete ASS out of herself now when it's clear that she is NOT going to be the nominee.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:54 AM
Response to Reply #132
137. No, it is not race baiting, it is simply stating facts.
Hillary: I have done good with the white vote. I have done especially great with the white working class vote.

Those are all verifiable and accurate claims. That is not race baiting.
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 06:19 AM
Response to Original message
133. How about white poor voters? White rich voters? White disabled voters?
Yellow working class? Yellow rich? Beige working class? Club-footed rich? This is so idiotic and so anti-Democratic it makes me ill.
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 11:31 AM
Response to Reply #133
139. It's wrong to dissect the demographics
of voters? It's always been done - what's wrong with doing so?

Have you ever seen anybody discuss how well Obama does with african-americans? Is it racist to note that?
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