February 13, 2008
The Path to The Nomination
By Mark Penn
To: Interested Parties
From: Mark Penn, Chief Strategist
Date: Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Re: The Path to the Nomination
This election will come down to delegates. Votes are still being counted and delegates apportioned, but Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are separated by approximately 40 delegates right now - that is, barely 1% of all the delegates to the Democratic convention.
After March 4th, over 3000 delegates will be committed, and we project that Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will be virtually tied with 611 delegates still to be chosen in Pennsylvania and other remaining states.
As history shows,
the Democratic nomination goes to the candidate who wins the most delegates - not the candidate who wins the most states. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/the_path_to_the_nomination.html