http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/may/18/johnmccain.barackobamaJohn McCain's supporters are reeling after a humbling defeat in a Mississippi by-election. Paul Harris in New York finds the Democrats daring to dream of a return to the White House
The language of the internal party memo was stark and brutally honest. Sent out by Republican congressman Tom Davis last week after a stunning congressional by-election loss in the Deep South, it warned colleagues of a potential disaster ahead.
The result, in which the Democratic party won a Mississippi House of Representatives seat that had voted 62 per cent for President Bush in 2004, was a sign of a 'toxic' political environment for Republicans, Davis wrote. He went on to point out the loss was the Republicans' third defeat in a row in special elections - the equivalent of a by-election in Britain - this year alone. Davis's memo dubbed the defeats 'canaries in the coalmine' for the survival of the Republican party.
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But it would be unfair to say that all Republicans are predicting disaster. Certainly the party's chances in the congressional elections to be held in November look grim. But many experts say that voters look at local issues in such elections and that the terrain of a presidential campaign is very different. 'The Mississippi result bodes well for the Democrats in Congress. It does not mean anything for the national election,' said Professor Cary Covington, a political scientist at the University of Iowa.
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interesting to see how things are viewed outside the US
in the article Hillary can be seen in the background - waiting
for the men to finish their rumble