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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:11 PM Original message |
Barack Obama's Map to 270 - 5/24/2008 |
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tekisui (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:13 PM Response to Original message |
1. Looks good to me. I feel good about MO, and iffy about OH. |
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Tribetime (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:14 PM Response to Reply #1 |
3. My thoughts too |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:14 PM Response to Reply #1 |
4. I think soon, Colorado will no longer be a swing state |
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grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:14 PM Response to Original message |
2. but I have read several other threads that said he can't win the GE |
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tekisui (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:15 PM Response to Reply #2 |
5. Oh yeah, they probably even confirmed it. |
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grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:19 PM Response to Original message |
6. survey USA just showed a poll with IN tied |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:21 PM Response to Reply #6 |
7. I know all those states are in play and I wouldnt be surprised if he took some, especially NEvada |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:49 PM Response to Reply #7 |
11. In '06 the Dems got a 60/40 split, in 64 Goldwater got 61/39 |
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NRaleighLiberal (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:30 PM Response to Original message |
8. Wouldn't surprise me if NC went blue for this election.....NT |
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RL3AO (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:44 PM Response to Reply #8 |
10. I'm confident it will. |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:59 PM Response to Reply #8 |
12. '64 map, colors are flipped |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:29 PM Response to Reply #12 |
16. Presidential Elections dont work the sameway as Congressional Ones |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 10:40 AM Response to Reply #16 |
27. Right, so what is the difference ? |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 11:07 AM Response to Reply #27 |
34. Take 1958 compared to 1960. Democrats won huge in the Congressional elections in 1958 |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:57 PM Response to Reply #34 |
42. Ok, but what was the political pendulem doing at that time? |
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Blondiegrrl (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 10:31 PM Response to Original message |
9. Awww, look at WV sticking out like a sore thumb. |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:48 PM Response to Reply #9 |
19. But Your Best Friend Kentucky is there with you! |
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Blondiegrrl (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 09:15 PM Response to Reply #19 |
53. Yee-haw! |
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Name removed (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:15 PM Response to Original message |
13. Deleted message |
Kittycat (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:19 PM Response to Reply #13 |
14. You just can't help yourself, can you? |
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davidpdx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:52 PM Response to Reply #14 |
20. Kitty, we can only wonder once this is over |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:28 PM Response to Reply #13 |
15. Obama will not be able to Holla? God your pathetic |
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neverforget (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 12:36 AM Response to Reply #13 |
22. If you haven't noticed, the Republicans have lost 3 special elections in the last |
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Dark (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:29 PM Response to Original message |
17. Ohio will go for McCain. Trust me, I live there. |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:32 PM Response to Reply #17 |
18. Well, I'm not just going to trust you because you live there. |
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mcctatas (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat May-24-08 11:54 PM Response to Reply #18 |
21. My 81 year old grandma has lived there all her life... |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 10:43 AM Response to Reply #17 |
28. Ohio didnt vote for Goldwater in 1964, neither did Florida. |
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muryan (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 03:49 PM Response to Reply #17 |
49. Not if I have anything to do with it |
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4_Legs_Good (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 12:42 AM Response to Original message |
23. I'd like to put IN and MO in our column too |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 12:44 AM Response to Reply #23 |
24. AK will stay red, unless maybe Clinton is on the ticket |
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4_Legs_Good (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 12:49 AM Response to Reply #24 |
25. What if we put Gravel on the ticket???!?!?!?!?! |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 12:51 AM Response to Reply #25 |
26. I so didnt process the AK. I was thinking Arkansas. |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 10:44 AM Response to Reply #24 |
29. Went for LBJ over Goldwater in '64 |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 11:06 AM Response to Reply #29 |
33. Alaska used to be a swing state. That changed over time. |
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Aloha Spirit (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 10:48 AM Response to Original message |
30. This is what victory will look like: |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 11:05 AM Response to Reply #30 |
32. We would win Tennessee before we'd win Wyoming, Idaho, or Utah. |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 12:40 PM Response to Reply #32 |
37. And we'd win Montana, Alaska, North Dakota before we win TN |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 11:04 AM Response to Original message |
31. I agree. This is a sober, realistic map. This isn't like the garbage some have with him carrying GA. |
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NJSecularist (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 11:09 AM Response to Original message |
35. This is within the realm of possibility. |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 11:12 AM Response to Reply #35 |
36. Dont put Montana in the same category as MS and GA |
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Phx_Dem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:13 PM Response to Reply #36 |
38. Yep |
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Gore1FL (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:17 PM Response to Original message |
39. You could take OH out of the mix and he still wins. |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:25 PM Response to Reply #39 |
40. I'm fairly confident that SC will go red |
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Gore1FL (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:28 PM Response to Reply #40 |
41. A lot depends on GOTV |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 03:22 PM Response to Reply #41 |
47. SC is a phenomenally red state. Bush won it by 17 or 18. It's not a swing state by any definition. |
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Gore1FL (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 03:42 PM Response to Reply #47 |
48. But is is very heavily African American |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon May-26-08 07:19 AM Response to Reply #48 |
55. African Americans vote pretty close to their share of the population in SC and MS. |
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dbmk (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:58 PM Response to Original message |
43. Intrade map |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 01:59 PM Response to Reply #43 |
44. Same as mine, except i gave NH and VA to Obama |
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kentuck (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 02:01 PM Response to Original message |
45. I would add NC, LA, NV, and MT to those states... |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 03:19 PM Response to Reply #45 |
46. I very much doubt Louisiana until I see some hard evidence on that. |
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MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 04:10 PM Response to Reply #45 |
51. I'm holding off on those states until I see a poll showing him ahead. |
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muryan (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 03:52 PM Response to Original message |
50. I honestly think he has a way better shot in MO |
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kevin881 (429 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 04:44 PM Response to Original message |
52. He will take Georgia. -nt |
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Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon May-26-08 07:20 AM Response to Reply #52 |
56. Not unless he is winning by 12 nationwide he won't. |
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FlyingSquirrel (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-25-08 10:08 PM Response to Original message |
54. Pretty close to my current map: |
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