Asians Shading Blue
The Asian American vote was once split, but now it could be moving decisively to the Democratic Party
By Mira Jang, July 26, 2008
Image: SF poster
A campaign poster in San Francisco days before the Feb. 5 California primary.
When exit polls showed that Hillary Clinton won the Asian American vote 3-1 against Barack Obama in the California primary, some pundits and scholars blamed racism for Clinton’s margin. If it had been true that a significant number of Asian Americans rejected Obama because of his race, John McCain should have an opportunity to capture these votes in the general election. But after Clinton conceded defeat, a June SurveyUSA poll found that 68 percent of Asian Americans in California, regardless of party affiliation, said they would vote for Obama, while only 27 percent said they would support McCain. No other group expressed stronger support for Obama, including whites and Latinos.
It’s tempting to conclude from these results that a strong majority of Asian Americans will back Obama, but the Asian sample size was probably too small. Except for the California and New York/New Jersey exit polls, no other scientifically sound survey measured Asian American opinion of the presidential candidates. "It's a group that is understudied and underpolled," says Sergio Bendixen, president of polling firm Bendixen and Associates, which conducted a rare national political survey of Asians in 2004. "The media doesn't pay attention to these voters, which is a mistake."
But on the basis of extensive interviews conducted among Asian voters in Southern California and discussions with political scientists and other experts who study the Asian American vote, it is possible to draw tentative conclusions about where Asian American voters are headed, and these conclusions bear out what polls have found. Asians are becoming more Democratic with each election, and Barack Obama is likely to benefit from this trend.
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http://newsinitiative.org/story/2008/07/25/asians_shading_blue