Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

States where polls should be questioned.

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-17-08 06:00 PM
Original message
States where polls should be questioned.
Edited on Sun Aug-17-08 06:01 PM by Drunken Irishman
Ohio
Virginia
North Carolina
Florida
Georgia

Why? Because every poll I have seen has Obama performing WORSE among the black community than John Kerry in 2004. It does not make sense and I do not believe this to be the case. If Obama is within 1-2 points of McCain in any of these polls on November 4th, the black vote will be the difference between victory and defeat.

So don't buy the polls coming from these states, they tend to over represent McCain's black support. And while I have no doubt McCain will gain some support from the black community, also remember Bush was actually well liked among social conservative blacks and I don't see how it's possible McCain does better this time around.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Stevepol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-17-08 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. It's possible the polls have a built-in Repub bias now.
Edited on Sun Aug-17-08 07:04 PM by Stevepol
The polls are calibrated on the basis of the (so-called) results of previous elections and if the results of these elections are seriously tilted in favor of the Repubs as I believe they are now, then the polls are also inaccurate.

Of course since the voting machines determine the results of elections and are themselves fraudulently tilted to the right, the problems with the pre-election polls won't be noticed.

Maybe if enough exit polling is done by different polling organizations, the exit polls will pretty accurately reflect the results of the elections, at least up until 1:00 or so in the morning, when the discrepancy becomes obvious and the polls are re-calibrated to fit the (so-called) results.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
1Hippiechick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-17-08 07:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. On the money. Got to change method of casting votes and oversight. n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Mon Apr 29th 2024, 11:56 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC