Rasmussen daily GE graph for 8/28/08 - Obama 45, McCain 44 (O up 1)

[DavidDvorkin]

With leaners, Obama 47, McCain 47 (O ? 1)

Rasmussen says that the daily polling shows Obama improving and predicts a modest convention bounce. Obama dropped after choosing Biden, but Rasmussen says that was because the veep wasn't Hillary.














These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html


Gallup: http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[DavidDvorkin]

1. Kick

[mvd]

2. Says Obama has been polling well lately

Watch for a nice lead tomorrow.

[DavidDvorkin]

3. I'm ready for that

After the first night of the DNC, I read that the Republicans expected Obama to get a 15-point bounce from the convention. Let's hope they're right.

[mvd]

4. I expect maybe a 3-4 point lead tomorrow

And growing 1-2 points each day for a couple days. Sound reasonable?

[DavidDvorkin]

5. That wouldn't be a comfortable margin

Dukakis lost the huge lead he had over Old George, right after the Democratic convention.

Of course, that happened during a period when he wasn't campaigning or responding to attacks. This time, the Dem team will be out there, I hope doing their own attacking. So the same thing surely won't happen.