Good news: Kerry likely to win

[goodhue]

John Kerry likely to win US polls: Najamuddin

HYDERABAD: Former foreign secretary Najamuddin Shaikh has said John Kerry will win the US elections because there is deep anger among the Democrats and this will ensure that they turn out for the polls in larger numbers than has traditionally been the case.

http://www.hipakistan.com/en/detail.php?newsId=en71306&F_catID=&f_type=source

Now you know, so go help get out the vote.

http://www.democrats.org/volunteer/index.html

[SoFlaJet]

1. the goodhue

hey that's the name of the award on the Rockford Files(favorite show)they gave to Jim Rockford for being P.I.of the year...then they had a recount and gave it to Tom Selleck's charachter as Lance White

[goodhue]

4. you don't say

Didn't know about the Rockford Files angle.
James Madison Goodhue was big shot in Minnesota in early 1800s.
There are a lot of things named for him around here.

http://rhet5662.class.umn.edu/heroes/goodhue.html

[renotyme]

2. the former pakistani secretary of state should know!

a man with a very bright future

[goodhue]

12. no doubt

Najmuddin Shaikh certainly knows what he is talking about.

[59millionmorons]

3. This is more damning.

No incumbent who served his full term in Gallup poll history has ever won re-election when he was not leading by atleast 9 points by September since Roosevelt in 1946 when he only lead by two. Thats 7 out of 8 full term incumbents who had a 9 point lead or more by this time who have won. The three who didnt have lost. Bush is now only tied. Remember back then they did not use likely voters only registered.

Caviat-Truman was down in 1948, but he took over after the death of Roosevelt. Gallup called that race for Dewey(Dewey lead in Sept was by 9). Well we know what happened there.

Caviat-Ford also was not a full term president.

INCUMBENT WINNERS-
1940-Roosevelt lead by 9.(Roosevelt won)
1944-Roosevelt lead by 2.)Roosevelt won)
1956-Eisenhower lead by 11. (Eisenhower won)
1964-Johnson lead by 30.(Johnson won)
1972-Nixon lead by 28 points.(Nixon won)
1984-Reagan lead by 21.(Reagan won)
1996-Clinton lead by 21.(Clinton won)

INCUMBENT LOSERS-
1980-Carter lead Reagan 44-40(Carter lost)
1976-Carter lead Ford 47-45 (Ford lost)(not a full term incumbent)
1992-Clinton lead Bush by 9 (bush lost)
2004-Bush and Kerry tied 47-48 (?????)

http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1252
http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1255
http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1249
http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1252
http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1246
http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1237
http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=1234

[ArkDem]

6. Roosevelt was dead in 1946.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

8. He made a typo

geeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeez! and the correct date shows up in his list following.

[DemOperative]

9. Speaking of historical precedent, no president elected in a year ending"0"

Has survived his term without being critically ill or shot. Many fatally. Bush is o fer. Maybe he IS God's favorite.........

[NewYorkerfromMass]

11. Reagan ended that run

they all died in office, Lincoln in his second term, Roosevelt his 4th. And I believe only beginning from 1840 on.

http://encyclopedia.thefreedictionary.com/List%20of%20leaders%20who%20died%20in%20office

[NewYorkerfromMass]

5. Shhhh

don't give away the ending.

[Lefty Pragmatist]

7. LOL. ;-)

Regardless of the source, it's probably not far from the truth to say the madder side will win in November.

I'm pretty mad, too.

[DemOperative]

10. I think the mad side is in charge now

Bush's top advisor: