GOBAMA! Obama's Lead Nearly Doubles In Today's Tracking Polls

[babylonsister]

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/09/obamas_lead_nearly_doubles_in.php

Obama's Lead Nearly Doubles In Today's Tracking Polls
By Eric Kleefeld - September 26, 2008, 1:17PM


Here's a wrap-up of the four major national tracking polls for today, containing the first full day of sampling since John McCain's pseudo-suspension -- and Barack Obama is extending his lead:

• Gallup: Obama 48%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error. Yesterday, the candidates were tied 46%-46%.

• Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to an Obama lead yesterday of 49%-46%.

• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.2% margin of error, compared to a 47%-43% Obama lead yesterday.

• Research 2000: Obama 48%, McCain 43%, with a ±3% margin of error. Yesterday, Obama was up 49%-43%.

Adding these polls together and weighting them by sample sizes, Obama is ahead by a margin of 48.9%-44.5%, almost double his margin from yesterday's 47.7%-45.3%.

Since John McCain began his quasi-suspension to deal with the economic crisis, we've had one new day of data for these three-day tracking polls. And that day doesn't appear to have treated him well.

[budkin]

1. Up 5 in Rasmussen is bad news for the 'pukes.

[cloudythescribbler]

2. Real good analysis -- this is the kind of stuff DU is really for! nt

[bunnies]

3. Maybe you should make us a list.

So we'll all know what DU is "really for". Last I heard it was a discussion board. You know... for discussion.

[babylonsister]

6. bunnies, did you wake up crotchity? nt

[Downtown Hound]

8. A little less coffee might be in order...

[cloudythescribbler]

9. I just think that some discussions are more to the point than others

I don't oppose the idea of open discussion and have never been one to call for increased censorship (either in general or of any particular post) of ANYTHING on DU.

[texasleo]

4. +4.0 in RCP

:)

[nam78_two]

5. Yeah!

:) :)

[Oak2004]

7. I've been estimating from all the data that we have a real lead of about

6 points (i.e., if the election really were held today, Obama would win by about six points).

That's a nice lead, but I won't be happy till it's more like 16 or 26 points.

[Drunken Irishman]

10. Well you won't be happy.

Cause I don't think it'll get up that high.

I'd be surprised if Obama sustained a ten point lead nationally.

[Oak2004]

11. I know

I don't want to be complacent.

[Cha]

12. Wow! A customer at work last night

thought mccain was going to win 'cause of the polls he's been seeing on corporate media.

We try to cheer him up with all the positive news we've heard regarding Obama's campaign..I think he went away feeling better:)

[PerfectSage]

13. That's an understatement. That one new day of data bitchslapped McCain hard.

Since John McCain began his quasi-suspension to deal with the economic crisis, we've had one new day of data for these three-day tracking polls. And that day doesn't appear to have treated him well.

;-)

[DCBob]

14. This is even before the much anticipated Obama October offensive.

:headbang: