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Looks like it's gonna be "Meltdown Day"...

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regnaD kciN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 03:29 AM
Original message
Looks like it's gonna be "Meltdown Day"...
Edited on Wed Oct-08-08 03:37 AM by regnaD kciN
Asian markets down around 10%, Russia in freefall, UAE down 8%, the U.K. and German markets now getting hammered (around 6%-8% down), Dow futures already down 204 points...as much as I may have doubted it until now, this really may be the day the global economy collapses, 1929-style.

:scared:

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lligrd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 03:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. Looks Like A World Wide Meltdown This Time
I would frankly, feel better if it was just us.
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regnaD kciN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 03:38 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Actually, it was back then, too...
People here just weren't so aware of it, because not all that much of the economy was globalized.

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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 03:38 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. We would be much better off it was just us.
Recovery will be much harder and longer if there is a serious global recession.
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Boz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 03:53 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Actually conceptually, we are better if it crashes global because monetary equality is maintained
Edited on Wed Oct-08-08 03:53 AM by Boz
If all money is worth less its still more equal than if we crash and other countries money is worth more.

In many ways the money that is "disappearing" is the fiat speculative not real assets, so its almost a giant market correction, rather than a crash. Although its still going to do the damage commonly associated with a crash it is nowhere near a '29 style crash.
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endthewar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 04:14 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. So it would appear on the surface,
but it only guarantees that the upcoming depression will last longer. You need to remember that the US is a debtor nation. As funds around the world dry up, it will be harder to borrow from other countries and other countries will want to charge the US more interest to borrow.
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 04:23 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. If other countries are in a recession too then they will be that much less able
to buy our products and/or to hold our debt.
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 04:16 AM
Response to Reply #1
7. Me, too! There goes my clever "let's put some retirement $$ in 'Emerging Markets'" decision.
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lligrd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 04:32 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Didn't Cheney Do The Same? nt
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 03:55 AM
Response to Original message
5. And Fox News will still be yapping about Bill Ayers
nt
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alwysdrunk Donating Member (908 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 05:07 AM
Response to Original message
10. No it doesn't
A lot of the speculative value has "burned off" in the markets but there is definitely still real value there. People sounding like they are rooting for our economy to fail are really starting to piss me off.
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regnaD kciN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-08 05:43 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Look, pal, I'm not "rooting for our economy to fail"...
I've got an 89-year-old widowed mother who needs round-the-clock live-in care, and is paying for it from my late father's investments. If we get another 1929-style crash, we're in big trouble.

I'm hoping for the best, too. But I did read that the average P/E ratio over the years was 14:1, and, right now, it's 20:1 -- suggesting that the "burning off" wouldn't logically be complete until the DJIA dropped all the way to 6,000. Like I said, I hope they're wrong.

(Although I wouldn't be too unhappy to see the economy not start to move back up until the day after Election Day...)

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