Did McCain Quit in the Wrong State? - Pennsylvania Sliding Quickly Toward Barack Obama

[Liberal_in_LA]

http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/1091109/did_mccain_quit_in_the_wrong_state.html

Did McCain Quit in the Wrong State? - Pennsylvania Sliding Quickly Toward Barack Obama
By Aaron Smith, published Oct 08, 2008

Recently the McCain campaign made a strategic decision to pull out of the state of Michigan. It had once been the campaign's number one pickup possibility, but they believed that the state was moving in the other direction quickly and that there return on investment possibilities were very low in the state. The average of the most recent polls in the state of Michigan show Barack Obama with a solid, but not insurmountable lead of 7%.

At the time they conceded the state of Michigan there is no doubt that the stakes got that much higher in the state of Pennsylvania. (clip)

If the McCain campaign was hoping for Pennsylvania to be the answer to their electoral problems recent polling indicates that it better look somewhere else, and quickly. The last four polls released from the state of Pennsylvania all show Barack Obama leading John McCain by at least 10 points. The RealClearPolitics average of the five most recent polls in the state show Barack Obama leading by 12%. Certainly a lot of things can change quickly in an election, but there is no doubt that 12% is a huge amount to try to make up in the period of just 28 days.

In several news reports the McCain campaign is reported to have said that part of the reason they pulled their advertisements in Michigan is that the state is quite expensive to advertise in. I have to wonder how the campaign is going to continue to spend huge amounts of money in Pennsylvania, specifically the all-important suburbs of Philadelphia, when the polls are looking this bad for them. No doubt that television advertising in the Philadelphia market is extremely expensive.

[DJ13]

1. Theres so many wrong states, McCain should quit about 20 of them

[Ikonoklast]

11. No, no, bad idea

I want him to spend tens of millions of dollars in the vain hope it will make a difference, especially in the states he's losing in.

I want him to borrow $100 million of Cindy's dough and waste it on this moribund effort.

Go big, or go home Johnny Boy!

[Jackpine Radical]

2. Naw, MI was lost anyway. Now PA too.

He may as well get used to it. He should have enough $$ left to hang onto Utah & Wyoming.

[msallied]

4. Let's not forget Oklahoma!

He's kickin ass there! LOL

[msallied]

3. McCain is playing defense now. It won't matter what state he goes to.

Perhaps he could try to hold onto Missouri or Indiana, but then he's still losing FL and OH. Either way, he's fucked and everyone knows it.

[occe]

5. I thought PA was always for Obama

In that case, he never had a chance :P

[aaaaaa5a]

15. I agree 100%... He has to win there...

Without PA, the path to 270 is real hard. With PA there are plenty of options. I liken it to a game of Tic-Tac-Toe. Winning PA is like putting a big "O" in the middle square for Obama!

[abumbyanyothername]

6. Everywhere McCain campaigns

his numbers go down.

[rufus dog]

7. I am guessing that both were lost causes but he couldn't quit both

and which State could he best go on his partial racist tact?

[NightWatcher]

8. we should have a guessing game as to the next state to go Obama

I'd like to see Florida in the next three weeks. He's still fighting hard here.

[appleannie1]

9. Live in W PA. There used to be a lot of McCain ads on TV. Not so anymore.

My take is he is running out of money.

[Cha]

10. More like should they do a Michigan in

Pennsylvania?

[Occam Bandage]

12. 2008 isn't a winning bet. McCain should pull out.

[dontforgetpoland]

13. Did McCain really pull out of MI. According to DKOS chart, McCain will be spending x3.5 more in MI?

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/8/115837/169/508/623948

McCain and the RNC will be spending 3.5 time more in tv ads this week than last week. Unless they paid weeks advances for these ads, it doesn't seem McCain really pulled out of MI.

BTW, if they want to waste their money on MI or PA it's fine by me. It means less money to spend on actual swing states.

[blue_onyx]

14. No, he should have quit Michigan and Pennsylvania

Things are going bad for him and he should have just chosen to focus on winning the Bush states.

[Robeson]

16. They're running adds left and right here in Tennessee...

...which is a good thing. They're pouring money into a red state.