Obama's pushing a 50% AVERAGE on RCP, and has his biggest lead EVER in their average of all polls.

[Brotherjohn]

Now at 7.7% up, and polling at 49.9% (to McCain's 42.2).

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

Will today's Gallup push him over 50? (probably only if he polls 52% or greater in it)

Before people go posting the usual "we can't get complacent" posts... I'm well aware that we can't. But I'm excited about this because the higher he goes, the safer we are from vote fraud. If Obama's lead is in double digits before the election (with the corresponding huge anticipated electoral vote advantage based on state polls), I don't think there's any way the nation would accept a McCain "win".

Do I hear 10? 12? 15%? (fingers crossed)

[jezebel]

1. He is dropping in today's Gallup. So the numbers will go down.

[aaaaaa5a]

2. Gallup should be out in a couple of minutes... n/t

[Pirate Smile]

5. The Hotline tracking poll now has him up by 10.

October 11, 2008


The Early Line: Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll



Obama/Biden 50%
McCain/Palin 40%
Undec 7%

- Burgeoning Record. In the first Diageo/Hotline poll taken fully after the 2nd WH debate, Obama leads McCain by 10%, his largest margin thus far. Previously, Obama's record advantage had been 7%.

- Prepare & Contrast. McCain now has his smallest lead ever on who LVs feel is more prepared to lead the nation. 46% say McCain is more prepared, while 43% say Obama. A week ago, in the survey completed 10/3, McCain led 49-41%.

- Hail To The Victor. LVs overwhelmingly feel Obama won the 2nd debate. Among the 71% who watched, 53% say the Dem nominee prevailed, while just 14% say McCain. In a similarly timed sample of RVs after the 1st debate, 42% said Obama won and 25% said McCain.

- Made The Grades. Obama scored considerably higher among debate watchers than McCain. 71% say Obama did an "excellent" or "good" job in the debate, while only 38% say the same of McCain. 27% say Obama did an "only fair" or "poor" job, while 59% say the same of McCain.

Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/8-10 by FD, surveyed 808 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 37%R, 18%I.

For subscribers, look to Monday's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.

http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/the_early_line_4.html#comments

[geckosfeet]

3. Lots of good news this morning,,,,

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=7411555&mesg_id=7411555

One additional point from me: :evilgrin:

We must never again be complacent. The struggle against hate and fear, no matter the source, must continue.

[Marsala]

4. This is incredible.

The RCP average ought to be even higher since Zogby's crap poll is dragging it down a bit with poor weighting.

[texasleo]

6. nice