Here are the polls out for today
I'm not going to be paying any attention to RCP's average for the national race because they have a selective way of choosing the polls to include that I find bullshit, so instead I've created my own average to accompany Pollster's
National Polls
Kos/R2K: Obama 52(-1), McCain 40(unchanged)
Rasmussen: Obama 50(-1), McCain 45(unchanged)
Hotline: Obama 48(-1), McCain 42(+1)
Zomby: Obama 48(-1), McCain 44(+1)
GWU: Obama 51(unchanged), McCain 43(+1)
Gallup: Obama 51(+1), McCain 41(-2)
ABC/WaPo: Obama 53(+3), McCain 43(-3)
USA Today/Gallup: Obama 51(+5), McCain 44(-6)
Democracy Corps: Obama 50(+2), McCain 40(-5)
Pollster Average: Obama 50.0(+.6), McCain 42(-.9)
HNMNF Average: 50.0(+.6), McCain 42.2(-1.1)
State Polls
Pennsylvania
Morning Call: Obama 51(+1), McCain 38(unchanged)
Marist: Obama 53(+4), McCain 41(-3)
RCP Average: Obama 53.4, McCain 40.0
This isnt even a swing state anymore
Ohio
Fox/Rasmussen: Obama 49(+2), McCain 47(-1)
Marist: Obama 49(+2), McCain 45(unchanged)
RCP Average: Obama 48.8, McCain 45.6
Oregon
SUSA: Obama 57(+5), McCain 40(-1)
New York
SUSA: Obama 64(+7), McCain 31(-7)
New Jersey
SUSA: Obama 55(+2), McCain 40(-3)
Georgia
SUSA: McCain 51(-1), Obama 43(-1)
Missouri
SUSA: Obama 51(+5), McCain 43(-4)
Fox/Rasmussen: Obama 50(unchanged), McCain 47(unchanged)
Close, but Obama appears to have taken a small lead here
RCP Average: Obama 49.0, McCain 46.8 (ARG Poll used)
Florida
Fox/Rasmussen: Obama 51(-1), McCain 46(-1)
RCP Average: Obama 50, McCain 45
Virginia
Fox/Rasmussen: Obama 50(unchanged), McCain 47(-1)
RCP Average: Obama 50.6, McCain 44.1
This is one of the only pollsters to really show this race still very close
North Carolina
Fox/Rasmussen: Obama 48, McCain 48
RCP Average: Obama 47.8, McCain 46.8
PPP will have a poll for this state tomorrow
North Dakota
Forum Poll: Obama 45, McCain 43
I think Obama can win this state, though others say this is an outlier...we will see.
My Electoral Map
Based on recent polling, I am moving North Dakota to lean McCain, instead of solid McCain, even though I think of it really as a tossup. I have moved Missouri out of tossup to lean Obama as well.
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.htmlhttp://www.pollster.com/polls/us/08-us-pres-ge-mvo.php