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How many of these late undecideds will actually even vote?

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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:02 AM
Original message
How many of these late undecideds will actually even vote?
If you're so conflicted only 4 days before the election, or so not tuned in, will you even vote? My guess is that a fair amount of these undecideds won't show up to vote.
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deutsey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:03 AM
Response to Original message
1. I can't decide how to respond
:evilgrin:
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mtnsnake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:05 AM
Response to Original message
2. I also believe that more than a few Republicans will not vote this time
It's one of the reasons why I think Obama is going to do better than what the pollsters are saying.
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CJCRANE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:12 AM
Response to Original message
3. There was a post
on DU that said that some of the undecideds were actually "Other" (that is voting for 3rd party candidates).

I noticed on the Situation Room's state polls yesterday that they included 3rd party candidates (and didn't include undecided).
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Arkansas Granny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:15 AM
Response to Original message
4. I've posted this before and I can't remember the exact source, but I saw someone
on tv a few days ago, a pollster, I believe, state that people who are still undecided are not very political, but they vote. They tend to vote on the person who is leading at the time. This would be good news for Obama, if true.
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riqster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
5. Depends on their motivation nt
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leftofcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:17 AM
Response to Original message
6. All of them
They are usually the ones to weigh their decisions very carefully then go vote.
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progressive_realist Donating Member (669 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:28 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. They think they are being careful, but actually they vote on impulse.
Pretty much by definition they are weighting the most recent influences heaviest, so they are the only voters likely to be swayed by last-minute attack ads. Anyone who actually weighs decisions carefully has long ago made up their mind -- we've had almost a year of constant media attention to get to know the candidates already.
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:40 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. They've had two years to weigh their decisions.
Undecideds at this point fall into three categories:

1) They know who they're going to vote for but are being cagey because they don't like telling people whom they're going to vote for out of principle. We all encounter a lot of those people.

2) They won't vote because they're totally apolitical.

3) They're morons and can't tie their shoes without help.

The majority of them fall into category #1, I believe. There is no way any thinking individual at this point in time, after 40+ debates and two years of campaigning doesn't know which side of the fence that they're on. There's just no way.

There aren't a lot of #2 showing up right now - most polls have moved towards likely voter models at this point in the race.

And then there's #3, whom will likely vote for whomever is the front runner because they like voting for the winner and because they have no central nervous system.
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bluedawg12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:23 AM
Response to Original message
7. I've heard 50% don't vote at all, the rest
break even 50/50, so they don't add to the election.
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qanda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:24 AM
Response to Original message
8. Or, if they have to, will they stand in a long line to vote
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madwivoter Donating Member (454 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:28 AM
Response to Original message
10. That's exactly what I've been saying to everyone who tells me there's tons of "undecideds"
First, there aren't tons of them.

Second, if anyone is undecided at this point they will probably not vote.
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Jersey Devil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
11. I've actually seen people on line to vote asking others who to vote for
True, and more than once in my 20 years of local involvement as a Democrat in municipal elections as both a candidate and campaign staff. Stand in line and you will see people turn to others and ask, "So who are you going to vote for", then "I think I will too" and things like that.

I met two people I know personally this week who always vote and they were still "undecided". Both were worried McCain would continue the war in Iraq but were afraid Obama would raise their taxes. One of them however is a bigot who I have heard use the "n word" before so I think he is lying. That scares me.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:30 AM
Response to Original message
12. Twice as many as actually exist -
all voting for McCain.

(But it STILL won't be enough for them to pull it out!)
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LondonReign2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-31-08 09:32 AM
Response to Original message
13. I agree
There has been much discussion about how the undecideds will break, and how many will probably break towards McCain because they are still undecided about Obama.

I think most say fuck it and break back to their couches instead of the voting both.
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