AK-Sen, AK-AL: End of the Line

[ccharles000]

http://swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=3781

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/28-30, likely voters, 10/14-16):

Mark Begich (D): 58 (48)
Ted Stevens (R-inc): 36 (46)
(MoE: ±4%)

Ethan Berkowitz (D): 53 (50)
Don Young (R-inc): 44 (44)
(MoE: ±4%)
Ted Stevens and Don Young have a combined 75 years of congressional seniority, but it looks like Alaskans are poised to blow that up and start over. Most notably, Stevens' conviction accounted for a 20-point swing since the previous poll two weeks ago. But some of the spirit of cleaning-house seems to have even transferred over to Berkowitz, whose numbers jumped a little as well.

McCain still has a big advantage at the presidential level, 58-39, but this poll also sees Sarah Palin's favorables dropping back to somewhat earthbound levels (65-35) after two months of constant airing of her dirty laundry.

[Blue_In_AK]

1. The most recent poll I saw on the McCain-Obama

matchup, done by an Alaskan pollster, showed McCain up by 11, not 19. My feeling is that it may be closer than people expect. Even Alaskans who have supported Sarah as governor are horrified by the prospect of a potential Palin presidency.