Karl Rove predicts "a 338-200 Barack Obama electoral vote victory over John McCain tomorrow"

[Amerigo Vespucci]

Election 2008: State of the Race

The final Rove & Co. electoral map of the 2008 election cycle points to a 338-200 Barack Obama electoral vote victory over John McCain tomorrow, the largest electoral margin since 1996. All remaining toss-up states have been allocated to the candidate leading in them, with Florida (27 EV) going to Obama, and Indiana (11 EV), Missouri (11 EV), North Carolina (15 EV), and North Dakota (3 EV) going to McCain. The two candidates are in a dead heat in Missouri and North Carolina, but they go to McCain because the most recent polls conducted over this past weekend show him narrowly ahead. Florida, too, could end up in McCain’s column since he’s benefited from recent movement in the state.

http://www.rove.com/election

[Kahuna]

1. And that's using his "special" math!

:)

[CatBO]

2. This is why I think they've given up on stealing this election...

There's no way they can. Virtually no one is predicting a McCain win. When even the outwardly partisan are predicting an Obama win, it's hard as hell to justify stealing.

[David__77]

3. Sounds about right.

I'm a little wary of Florida, but the others look good.

[WallStreetNobody]

4. I give Obama NC and 1 EV from Nebraska

I think the GOTV operation in NC will put us over the top, we're already leading in the early voting there.