VA could be close: Exit Polls says McCain's winning white men and late deciders by healthy margins

[Unsane]

Per Faux Noise

On a positive note, both these groups (white men and late deciders) look pretty good for Obama in IN and OH.

[melody]

1. I learned my lesson about exit polls in 2004

[Schulzz]

2. SUSA had McCain winning the white vote in VA 57-40 (not just men), and still Obama ahead by 4. nt

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bccf3ebd-67cc-4a9d-a5fb-c77588567594

[lapfog_1]

3. Bullshit!

Don't listen to Faux.

Virginia is going Obama.

[Zynx]

4. Of course he's winning white men.

[knowledgeispwr]

5. I'm sure polls had McCain winning those groups in VA before.

no news there.

[MadBadger]

6. Yes, but shouldnt that be McCain's strongest group?

Those are white male vote actually looked really good, especially OH

[Ichingcarpenter]

7. Obama is winning white men in Ohio and Indiana which is

unusual because Dems don't do that. I saw that. MSNBC is now going over exit polls

[vademocrat]

8. Well, there are 4 white men in my family and they ALL voted Obama

[RollWithIt]

9. Exit polls completely ignore early voters....

Take that exit poll guy!

[cbc5g]

10. I like how they left out white women

Obama was never going to carry the white male vote in VA. Clinton couldn't even carry the white male vote in 92 or 96.

[davepc]

11. Breaking - McCain strong among his strongest groups...details to follow

[ncgrits]

12. My white male brother is knocking on doors all day today in SW Virginia.

If anybody can get it done, brother Bill is the man!

Never been involved in a campaign in his 53 years and he's getting it done today!
I'm so proud of him.

[Chasing Dreams]

13. Relax!!! The 19 point deficit among white men is great news. From Public Policy Polling (PPP):

Virginia Results - Final poll completed Monday

Barack Obama 52
John McCain 46

Barack Obama led in all seven surveys PPP conducted in Virginia this year.

The race has tightened since last week when we found Obama leading 52-43 in the state. The undecideds may be moving toward John McCain but the Democratic nominee has not lost any ground and given that he's over 50% that's a good sign for his prospects there.

More important Obama is still holding the same 42% share of the white vote that he had last week. McCain has improved from 53 to 56% within that demographic. A PPP analysis conducted over the summer found that 39% of white voters would probably get the job done for Obama in Virginia and he has consistently exceeded that over the last six weeks.

So the 19 point white men deficit in today's exit poll is less than the 20+ point or less total white voter deficit Obama needs to win. And we know he will be close to even among white women.