Do we have any non anecdotal voter registration data?

[vi5]

I know everyone on here as their stories about people they've registered or who they know who registered and how they are almost always dems over repubs, or they registered 4 dems for every 1 repub, etc.

But is there any hard data on this stuff? Or don't they publish it. Shouldn't we be able to find out specifically dem voter registration numbers or party registratsions versus repubs?

Just curious.

[wildeyed]

1. I just posted some for NC

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x842784

Looks good :)

[Journeyman]

3. Thanks, wildeyed. . .

I didn't bookmark your post earlier but found it to be one of the more positive posts of the past few days. I went looking for it just now to share with vi5 but couldn't find it. A very good post, and links to some great numbers.

WE WILL WIN. Just keep in mind the most amazing fact to emerge from the caucuses and primaries early this year, the truly awe inspiring numbers of people who voted, far more than any of the "pundits" or "experts" expected.


A short poem to keep the 'experts' in perspective:

Experts, experts, tell me please.
Who might the expert experts be?


If they'd just tell us that, we could ignore the rest. But without that consensus, the experts are no more knowledgeable than you or I, they just have bigger lungs and more circulation for their biased beliefs.

[vi5]

4. That is excellent. Thank you for posting that...

very heartening.

[crispini]

2. Voter reg is done county by county

So I don't think there's any national org. which monitors it.

FWIW, I registered 32 more this weekend. And every time I go into the registrar's office I ask them how it is and they say "it's really really busy"

sidebar: I have a sneaking suspicion that the voter reg office in Dallas co is full of Democrats. They make it soooooooo easy to register to vote. You wouldn't believe how many deputy registrars we have running around around here. Turn over a rock and they come crawling out. :7

edit: we don't register by party... but when you register at democratic events, you get mostly democrats. :7

[Jane Austin]

8. Way to go!!

Where are you having the best luck finding good prospects?

Thanks.

[crispini]

9. Finding probable Democrats to register:

- our local gay pride parade.
- laudromats in predominantly Hispanic & Black areas of town.
- door to door in D precincts.
- table at D picnic.
- anytime people are waiting in long lines i.e. concerts, (esp. "alternative" bands), F911 showing, etc.
- table at local thrift store (lots of prospects here)

See also our Voter Registration page which has LOTS of good info.

http://www.dallasforkerry.com/committees/field/voterreg/

[Jane Austin]

11. Thank you so much for that info!

Bastrop County Dems are working the Home Depot every Saturday, but I'm thinking places like your thrift store or even - shudder - WalMart would hit our targets better.

Thanks again.

[ISUGRADIA]

5. IOWA Dems are doing well

Republicans have about 9000 registered voter edge over Democrats in the latest numbers 588,000 to 579,000. No Party has 705,000 registered.

I believe last year before the caucuses the Republicans had a 60,000 edge and for years before that it was more like 100,000. So in Iowa Dems are making a good showing.

[Polemonium]

6. Anecdotal encouragement and some numbers from a website

Well all we have is anecdotal, but in Australia we have registered 3000+, and of those visiting our registration tables 80 to 90% have had something unkind to say about shrub. I don't think we can assume that 80-90% of the approx. 7 million overseas Americans will be voting for Kerry (historically the overseas vote goes to the republicans), but this year thousands of people who have not voted in 10-50 years are registering (60-70% of the people we've registered fall into this catagorie). My gut tells me that the overseas vote will go for Kerry this year, but I'm not in touch with the more conservative networks of overseas Americans.

Below are the numbers of people overseas who have registered using one of the many websites available to request a ballot / register from overseas.

# of people who have visited www.overseasvote2004.com by country:

I think the site www.overseasvote.com would be reporting similar numbers: This kind of activity did not happen four years ago, on anywhere near this scale.

Grand Total 44,367

Count of Registrant GRAND
Country TOTAL
Canada 8,454
United Kingdom 5,537
United States 2,592
Germany 2,431
France 2,124
Japan 2,104
Australia 1,780
Spain 1,660
Switzerland 1,652
Israel 1,575
Italy 1,361
Mexico 967
(blank) 909
Netherlands 820
Thailand 622
Dominican Republic 545
Ireland 539
China 493
New Zealand 429
Norway 396
Korea 385
Belgium 384
Sweden 333
Brazil 330
Hong Kong SAR 293
Costa Rica 256
Austria 254
Czech Republic 229
Singapore 221
Argentina 218
Greece 213
Taiwan 194
IE 189
India 176
Denmark 160
South Africa 145
Saudi Arabia 143
Chile 127
United Arab Emirates 121
Philippines 114
Finland 111
Indonesia 107
Dominica 104
Peru 101
Turkey 89
Hungary 88
Iraq 83
Portugal 82
Egypt 81
Malaysia 70
Ecuador 67
Other 64
Ukraine 61
Military 58
Morocco 57
Colombia 55
Russia 54
Poland 48
Kenya 45
Viet Nam 41
Venezuela 41
Northern Mariana Islands 39
Kuwait 39
Bermuda 38
Afghanistan 37
Honduras 37
Panama 36
Cambodia 30
Puerto Rico 29
Pakistan 29
Luxembourg 27
Bolivia 27
Romania 22
Nicaragua 22
Serbia and Montenegro 21
Lebanon 21
Vatican City 20
Jordan 20
Bahamas 19
Guatemala 17
Uganda 16
Tanzania 16
Cayman Islands 16
Ethiopia 16
Bulgaria 16
Iceland 16
Bosnia and Herzegovina 16
Kazakhstan 16
Jamaica 16
Cyprus 15
Qatar 15
Croatia 15
Albania 14
Slovakia 14
Ghana 13
Virgin Islands 12
Vietnam 12
Senegal 12
Bangladesh 12
United States Minor Outlying Islands 11
Belize 11
Botswana 11
Paraguay 10
Bahrain 10
Moldova 10
Tunisia 9
Sri Lanka 9
Guam 9
Papua New Guinea 9
American Samoa 9
Oman 9
El Salvador 9
Gambia 8
Laos 8
Aruba 8
Estonia 8
Antigua and Barbuda 8
Nigeria 8
Trinidad and Tobago 7
Micronesia 7
Latvia 7
Netherlands Antilles 7
Anguilla 6
Nepal 6
Zambia 6
Monaco 6
Andorra 6
Barbados 6
Georgia 6
Uruguay 6
Cameroon 6
Croatia (Hrvatska) 6
Armenia 6
Mongolia 6
Grenada 5
Chad 5
Tonga 5
Azerbaijan 5
Syria 5
Macedonia, Former Yugoslav Republic of 5
Suriname 5
Sudan 5
Antarctica 5
Bhutan 5
Rwanda 5
Mali 5
Kyrgyzstan 4
Hong Kong 4
Angola 4
Zimbabwe 4
Virgin Islands (British) 4
Algeria 4
Central African Republic 4
Benin 4
Malta 4
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4
OTHER 112
Grand Total 44,367

[Touchdown]

7. Local Colorado paper did a 5 month story a few weeks ago.

colorado's forum has it.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=142x1455

Gains since April...
Democrats- 33,721
GOP- 28,184
Unafiliated- 29,100

we have no "independents" sinc we're a caucus state.

[crispini]

10. Real numbers from Austin!

http://www.burntorangereport.com/archives/002230.html

Phenomenal Voter Reg. Numbers from Travis County
Between March 9th and September 18th of this year 41,400 people registered to vote in Travis County.

Of those 41,400 new voters, 50% are under 30, and 39% under the age of 25.

This is nearly twice the number of voters registered in Travis during the last presidential election year. During this period in 2000, there were 25,100 voters who registered. Of those new registered voters, 59% cast a ballot.

Local Democratic organizers expect another 20,000 voter registrations in the final two weeks of registration before the October 4th deadline.

Between the March primary and today, 41,400 people have registered to vote

50% of those new voters are under 30. 39% are under 25 years of age.

During the same period in 2000, 25,100 people registered. 59% of the newly
registered cast ballots.

I am extremely optimistic about Democrats prospects in Travis County. In 2000, George W. Bush won Travis County 47%-43% (10% for Nader). That year, there were two key trends among voters that are absent this year. First, Ralph Nader was on the ballot, many liberals saw little difference between Bush and Gore, and thus since Texas was not a swing state, many liberal voters cast a Nader protest vote. Second, despite getting roughed up some in the 2000 campaign, many Texas Democrats still saw George W. Bush as their popular homestate governor. This year however, many longtime Austin activists will tell you that the Democratic base is more energized than they have seen in a decade or two.

It would not surprise me to see Kerry approach (or even top) 60% of the vote countywide. I'd be shocked if Democrats don't sweep the countywides as well. The real question will be the two hotly contested state representative races in the northern part of the county (Strama and White). Both are marginally Republican districts, but full of moderate suburbanites who often split their tickets.

EDIT: MiGawd, this might be the year that Texas goes blue. Or if not, we're damn well going to be very, very purple.