AZ-Gov: Goddard Leads Second Poll; SSP Changes to Tossup

[ccharles000]

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/5652/azgov-goddard-leads-second-poll-ssp-changes-to-tossup

Rasmussen (9/27, likely voters):

Terry Goddard (D): 42
Jan Brewer (R-inc): 35
Some other: 13
Not sure: 11

Terry Goddard (D): 44
Fife Symington (R): 37
Some other: 9
Not sure: 10
(MoE: ±4.5%)

It's becoming very clear that Democrats have a good shot at a pickup in the Arizona governor's race, where appointed Republican governor Jan Brewer is struggling, both in her own primary and against Democratic AG Terry Goddard. Last week's PPP poll giving a big edge to Goddard (beating Brewer by 10 and Symington by 23) seemed fluky at the time, but now Rasmussen is out with numbers almost as good. Now that Brewer's seeming weakness has been thoroughly quantified, we're moving this race to "Tossup."

Rasmussen finds Brewer laboring under a 37/57 job approval and 42/54 favorable. Compounding her situation, Brewer couldn't have helped herself with remarks last week dissing Phoenix (calling it a "hell hole"), where most of the state's voters are, while at a Tucson appearance. Convicted-then-pardoned ex-Gov. Fife Symington, inexplicably looking for a comeback, fares even worse at 36/54 favorable, while Goddard is at 54/38. (Rasmussen doesn't test state Treasurer Dean Martin, who also seems a likely GOP primary opponent to Brewer.)